NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-08-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.043. down 0.012 over the period, from 0.055. Range 0.035 to 0.186. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.044	110	110
0.045	100	210
0.047	551	761
0.050	6	767
0.051	100	867
0.052	3,041	3,908
0.058	21	3,929
0.059	20	3,949
0.076	351	4,300
0.077	529	4,829
0.079	458	5,287
0.085	1,199	6,486

Spread0.003Mid0.042

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.041	64	64
0.040	902	966
0.039	1,100	2,066
0.038	0	2,067
0.037	2,291	4,358
0.036	570	4,928
0.035	1,834	6,762
0.034	300	7,062
0.032	10,000	17,062
0.030	410	17,472
0.029	5	17,477
0.022	3,000	20,477

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.959	64	64
0.960	902	966
0.961	1,100	2,066
0.962	0	2,067
0.963	2,291	4,358
0.964	570	4,928
0.965	1,834	6,762
0.966	300	7,062
0.968	10,000	17,062
0.970	410	17,472
0.971	5	17,477
0.978	3,000	20,477

Spread0.003Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.956	110	110
0.955	100	210
0.953	551	761
0.950	6	767
0.949	100	867
0.948	3,041	3,908
0.942	21	3,929
0.941	20	3,949
0.924	351	4,300
0.923	529	4,829
0.921	458	5,287
0.915	1,199	6,486

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
countbinface33	Yes	56,848.52
pretzel	Yes	38,866
0x23d81ba9371e576015c1e562db09c689f56c028	Yes	38,041.17
Hans323	Yes	14,107.65
Relaccsed	Yes	6,243.66
Mithrandir.	Yes	5,717.72
Howl.	Yes	4,132.44
opopv2	Yes	2,679.79
Newshound	Yes	2,667.61
ShyGuy1	Yes	2,500
whig	Yes	2,499.98
Camal	Yes	2,264.49
OkieDokiePeon	Yes	1,647.71
0x893551Ec9F155694d36e63429D97D2aFebE011Cf-1770824371590	Yes	1,420.3
peterfromfamilyguy	Yes	1,351.18
BikesAreTheBikes	Yes	1,207.99
HerrieDavis	Yes	1,118.05
melonmanm	Yes	1,100
AgricultureSecretary	Yes	1,061.94
0x9a9EcCC770987aF75fbC850cb9d2F7BEe23Cc6E9-1768170850546	Yes	987

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:35:44	BUY	No	0.958	10	$9.58
09:42:45	BUY	Yes	0.0438199099	111	$4.86
08:17:30	BUY	No	0.96	94	$90.00
08:06:26	BUY	No	0.96	2	$2.02
07:43:26	BUY	No	0.96	2	$1.80
05:59:32	BUY	No	0.9599475869	104	$100.00
04:47:09	BUY	Yes	0.047	5	$0.26
04:27:44	BUY	No	0.9607633333	6	$5.76
03:23:15	BUY	No	0.9549996341	2	$2.31
02:53:23	BUY	No	0.954999883	2	$2.00
01:19:56	SELL	Yes	0.0511627793	18,731	$958.33
01:02:54	SELL	No	0.929	15	$13.99
01:02:08	BUY	Yes	0.071	15	$1.07
00:52:29	SELL	Yes	0.07	99	$6.91
00:52:09	BUY	Yes	0.073	15	$1.09
00:47:54	SELL	No	0.926	30	$27.89
00:05:53	BUY	No	0.9309691314	28	$25.94
00:05:27	BUY	No	0.93	15	$13.90
00:05:09	BUY	No	0.929010488	47	$43.40
00:04:29	BUY	No	0.929	14	$13.02
00:04:08	SELL	No	0.928	14	$13.00
00:01:24	BUY	No	0.9243948636	19	$17.28
23:47:54	SELL	No	0.918	5	$4.59
23:47:50	SELL	No	0.918	15	$13.77
23:34:08	SELL	Yes	0.076	118	$8.97