ShyGuy1
0x1f66796b45581868376365aef54b51eb84184c8d
- Realised P&L
- $46.5k
- Volume
- $8.20M
- Markets traded
- 3,964
- Open portfolio
- $5.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,964
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.6kat 0.320Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 9?
- +$7.2kat 0.096Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?
- +$5.5kat 0.088Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?
- +$4.7kat 0.315Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 28?
- +$4.6kat 0.038Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.1560222824 | $5.18 |
| 10-08 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9470616734 | $72.33 |
| 10-08 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.3572125152 | $35.16 |
| 10-08 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.07135741 | $12.78 |
| 10-08 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.0394774775 | $1.10 |
| 10-08 02:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.25 | $37.50 |
| 10-08 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.3288442869 | $42.68 |
| 10-08 01:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.0282472542 | $2.11 |
| 10-08 01:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.228337 | $45.67 |
| 10-08 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.17 |
| 10-08 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.0386248438 | $1.55 |
| 10-08 01:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-08 01:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 10-08 00:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.0476617647 | $2.33 |
| 10-08 00:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.0428892277 | $4.36 |