PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

opopv2

0xafde461fce5aa0fabdb7711c59db93b65e343e1d

Realised P&L
$51.7k
Volume
$2.73M
Markets traded
1,954
Open portfolio
$8.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,954
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.22$5.74
08-03 03:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.2093593337$26.14
08-03 03:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.206611797$18.07
08-03 03:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.1915109195$61.30
08-03 03:55Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.0406394687$16.06
08-03 03:17Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.31$6.51
08-03 03:08Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.12$10.51
08-03 03:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.2771382637$8.62
08-03 02:59Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C or higher on August 3?SELL0.05$5.00
08-03 02:59Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.1129017857$25.29
08-03 02:51Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.13$3.07
08-03 02:47Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.8557142857$10.48
08-03 02:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.1$1.07
08-03 02:45Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.119223301$12.28
08-03 02:44Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.1096173314$108.28