opopv2
0xafde461fce5aa0fabdb7711c59db93b65e343e1d
- Realised P&L
- $51.7k
- Volume
- $2.73M
- Markets traded
- 1,954
- Open portfolio
- $8.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,954
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.1kat 0.030Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
- +$5.7kat 0.030Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?
- +$3.5kat 0.047Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
- +$3.0kat 0.458Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?
- +$2.7kat 0.028Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.74 |
| 08-03 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2093593337 | $26.14 |
| 08-03 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.206611797 | $18.07 |
| 08-03 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1915109195 | $61.30 |
| 08-03 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0406394687 | $16.06 |
| 08-03 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.51 |
| 08-03 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.12 | $10.51 |
| 08-03 03:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2771382637 | $8.62 |
| 08-03 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C or higher on August 3? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.1129017857 | $25.29 |
| 08-03 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.07 |
| 08-03 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8557142857 | $10.48 |
| 08-03 02:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.07 |
| 08-03 02:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.119223301 | $12.28 |
| 08-03 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1096173314 | $108.28 |