opopv2
0xafde461fce5aa0fabdb7711c59db93b65e343e1d
- Realised P&L
- $51.9k
- Volume
- $3.88M
- Markets traded
- 2,677
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,677
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.0kat 0.030Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
- +$5.7kat 0.030Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?
- +$5.2kat 0.029Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22?
- +$3.5kat 0.049Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
- +$2.9kat 0.462Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5478843441 | $143.73 |
| 09-25 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.565788435 | $28.67 |
| 09-25 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4965386478 | $71.75 |
| 09-25 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4747205056 | $33.80 |
| 09-25 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1969688385 | $34.76 |
| 09-25 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1550319375 | $4.37 |
| 09-25 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.52 |
| 09-25 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1535494618 | $11.98 |
| 09-25 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.58 | $23.20 |
| 09-25 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5292391304 | $243.45 |
| 09-25 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5094498924 | $213.00 |
| 09-25 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.1418345324 | $19.72 |
| 09-25 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.189029715 | $15.59 |
| 09-25 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.30 |
| 09-25 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0068558003 | $1.17 |