PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

opopv2

0xafde461fce5aa0fabdb7711c59db93b65e343e1d

Realised P&L
$51.9k
Volume
$3.88M
Markets traded
2,677
Open portfolio
$7.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,677
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 08:40Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.5478843441$143.73
09-25 08:08Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.565788435$28.67
09-25 08:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.4965386478$71.75
09-25 08:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.4747205056$33.80
09-25 05:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.1969688385$34.76
09-25 05:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.1550319375$4.37
09-25 05:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.16$3.52
09-25 05:47Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.1535494618$11.98
09-25 05:45Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.58$23.20
09-25 05:45Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.5292391304$243.45
09-25 05:39Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.5094498924$213.00
09-25 05:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?SELL0.1418345324$19.72
09-25 05:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.189029715$15.59
09-25 05:17Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 25?BUY0.02$0.30
09-25 05:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25?BUY0.0068558003$1.17