PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pretzel

0xda737a656dd487c3ba95d6577d1fec2c61414d41

Realised P&L
$11.5k
Volume
$3.38M
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 03:01NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.17$1.6k
08-21 03:01NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.081$946.33
08-20 23:40NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0788541886$1.1k
08-20 23:39NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.07$0.59
08-15 19:06Will Trump say "No No No" this week?BUY0.5780655281$182.43
08-10 21:33Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?BUY0.3629095149$457.54
08-08 20:46Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?BUY0.3906140848$703.64
08-07 09:05Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.5047838186$2.5k
08-02 11:53Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?BUY0.6978302054$788.27
07-31 10:03Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?BUY0.704$35.20
07-31 10:00NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.083$2.5k
07-29 23:01U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.868523205$4.2k
07-24 01:56Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.1295390836$4.81
07-24 01:54Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.1245$4.98
07-23 23:35Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.4$509.66