Relaccsed
0xa6b7ebd5ce137c3b5d56f896a52eba71702bd5f3
- Realised P&L
- $21.6k
- Volume
- $2.65M
- Markets traded
- 2,329
- Open portfolio
- $17.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,329
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.537Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
- +$3.6kat 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
- +$3.6kat 0.350US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
- +$3.4kat 0.103Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
- +$2.5kat 0.500WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $35.00 |
| 08-02 21:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $257.88 |
| 08-02 21:51 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1429503409 | $111.75 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.539623665 | $63.66 |
| 08-02 21:42 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.5 | $640.00 |
| 08-02 21:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $374.93 |
| 08-02 21:40 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4609749678 | $253.95 |
| 08-02 16:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1786331471 | $9.59 |
| 08-02 16:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $360.00 |
| 08-02 16:33 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.4657671836 | $345.66 |
| 08-02 16:16 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.66 | $330.00 |
| 08-02 02:55 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $136.88 |
| 08-02 02:54 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $21.28 |
| 08-02 02:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.0364830675 | $7.98 |
| 08-02 02:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.035341331 | $5.60 |