Relaccsed
0xa6b7ebd5ce137c3b5d56f896a52eba71702bd5f3
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $3.14M
- Markets traded
- 2,583
- Open portfolio
- $5.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,583
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.536Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
- +$3.6kat 0.091Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
- +$3.6kat 0.350US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
- +$3.4kat 0.103Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
- +$2.5kat 0.500WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:42 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 09-15 21:48 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.98799286 | $2.0k |
| 09-15 16:45 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499477042 | $105.16 |
| 09-15 16:44 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | BUY | 0.227 | $1.14 |
| 09-15 16:43 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | BUY | 0.147 | $29.40 |
| 09-15 01:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.952 | $137.67 |
| 09-15 00:04 | Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | BUY | 0.1857471489 | $16.12 |
| 09-14 04:46 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.71 | $30.66 |
| 09-14 04:15 | Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.02596 | $6.49 |
| 09-14 04:04 | Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.018 | $2.34 |
| 09-14 03:54 | Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | BUY | 0.6170004243 | $116.34 |
| 09-14 01:06 | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.2470915192 | $16.20 |
| 09-14 00:58 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | SELL | 0.0116782623 | $4.92 |
| 09-13 16:35 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 09-13 14:16 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.69 | $20.70 |