Relaccsed
0xa6b7ebd5ce137c3b5d56f896a52eba71702bd5f3
- Realised P&L
- $10.2k
- Volume
- $3.36M
- Markets traded
- 2,824
- Open portfolio
- $9.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,824
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.536Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
- +$3.6kat 0.350US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
- +$3.4kat 0.103Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
- +$2.8kat 0.305Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
- +$2.5kat 0.500WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:34 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? | BUY | 0.996 | $81.96 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 11-01 17:32 | Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 11-01 17:22 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? | BUY | 0.9848180104 | $104.44 |
| 11-01 07:20 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 25%? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 11-01 07:04 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 11-01 05:03 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $52.25 |
| 11-01 03:34 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.893 | $44.65 |
| 11-01 02:38 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $584.64 |
| 11-01 02:37 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.1317003437 | $75.88 |
| 11-01 02:03 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.147 | $12.78 |
| 11-01 02:03 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.1457759465 | $8.93 |
| 11-01 01:58 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.9794864865 | $289.93 |
| 11-01 01:58 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.979 | $19.58 |
| 11-01 01:24 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $49.37 |