PolyBot

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Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-03-01
Resolves by
https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/
Rewards
20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.060. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.055. Range 0.033 to 0.085. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0637878
0.0652098
0.07085182
0.07129212
0.072183395
0.073562958
0.0741611,119
0.0753011,420
0.0761481,568
0.0833341,902
0.0841202,022
0.0901002,122

Spread0.006Mid0.060

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0576969
0.05690159
0.055800959
0.05420979
0.0506551,634
0.0471,2582,892
0.0461743,066
0.0411223,188
0.0401983,386
0.0374383,824
0.036203,844
0.0305734,417

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9436969
0.94490159
0.945800959
0.94620979
0.9506551,634
0.9531,2582,892
0.9541743,066
0.9591223,188
0.9601983,386
0.9634383,824
0.964203,844
0.9705734,417

Spread0.006Mid0.940

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9377878
0.9352098
0.93085182
0.92929212
0.928183395
0.927562958
0.9261611,119
0.9253011,420
0.9241481,568
0.9173341,902
0.9161202,022
0.9101002,122

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LeopoldArschenbrennerYes21,846.24
ZarshkaYes3,409.94
rocky42010Yes1,241.61
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes1,004
PMMMRYes1,000
RoderickM987Yes1,000
RecursiveDragonYes762.29
xor7Yes526.32
buffetwYes400
fledgerYes316.86
urawYes313.51
0x8333521Ed10E5c714960Cde86e43B0A93e9DeF3E-1772404534081Yes296.82
SEVEXYes280.03
EiaYes250.02
0x6b0e…e3eaYes225.01
xtxpleasecallmeYes215.21
zk1984Yes200
cammermanYes192.31
Anon234Yes192.3
0xF6922dC01EEaA69A7C0515a08179B4315cFF554C-1784854491166Yes124.88

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:16:00SELLYes0.085$0.39
11:15:58SELLYes0.085$0.39
11:15:57BUYNo0.913985$899.35
23:47:16SELLNo0.8920$17.80
23:47:13SELLNo0.88940$35.56
23:47:07SELLNo0.8920$17.80
23:36:03SELLNo0.93820$18.76
23:36:00SELLNo0.9388$7.83
23:36:00SELLNo0.93920$18.78
23:35:57BUYYes0.0593526692357$21.18
23:35:57BUYYes0.060347916724$1.45
23:35:57BUYYes0.0625$1.47
17:05:15SELLNo0.9504450$47.52
16:37:27SELLNo0.9540$38.00
16:37:22SELLNo0.9550$47.50
16:37:13SELLNo0.9520$19.00
16:37:10SELLNo0.9540$38.00
16:37:07SELLNo0.9520$19.00
16:28:54SELLNo0.954139$132.88
16:28:52SELLNo0.9545342593,762$3591.17
16:28:52BUYYes0.04624$1.10
02:40:33SELLNo0.954$3.80
02:40:23SELLNo0.954$3.80
01:22:45SELLYes0.0320$0.60
01:21:17SELLYes0.0320$0.60