PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Anon234

0xf3ac964596f56a91696d84b0cf01368a020af23d

Realised P&L
$231.06
Volume
$680.4k
Markets traded
3,309
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,309
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3300.855$258.93+$158.93
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8730.962$110.23+$10.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.966$99.67+$0.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.955$99.47$0.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.925$99.46$0.54
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0930.165$84.18+$36.91
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3780.575$80.57+$27.67
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? · No0.4100.635$77.44+$27.44
Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.1200.755$67.33+$56.63
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.0700.176$63.04+$38.04
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.3100.740$59.67+$34.68
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.3600.855$59.37+$34.37
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7130.845$58.68+$9.18
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$58.46+$20.96
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5860.966$57.23+$22.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:09Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.175$8.57
09-16 21:09Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.177165783$15.04
09-16 20:58Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?BUY0.32$16.00
09-16 19:30Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?BUY0.63$13.39
09-15 21:51Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?SELL0.09$0.08
09-15 19:34Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?BUY0.69$8.74
09-14 18:50Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14?SELL0.98$34.25
09-14 18:49Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14?SELL0.93$28.67
09-14 16:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.84$29.30
09-14 16:00Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.358$7.97
09-14 13:03Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.37$24.34
09-14 06:20Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?BUY0.21$2.52
09-14 03:48Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?BUY0.2033665008$3.68
09-12 23:07Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?BUY0.32$3.06
09-11 00:44Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?BUY0.65$4.87