rocky42010
0x84d7b7a1d571534fbad757dfafdf9e604726298f
- Realised P&L
- $13.9k
- Volume
- $8.65M
- Markets traded
- 6,708
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,708
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.272Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-03-10?
- +$1.2kat 0.290Will FC København win on 2026-03-15?
- +$1.2kat 0.048Will Odense BK win on 2026-03-15?
- +$1.1kat 0.090Toulouse FC vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5
- +$1.1kat 0.096Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:20 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $7.20 |
| 09-17 12:33 | Counter-Strike: M80 vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-17 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 09-17 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.46 | $46.92 |
| 09-15 23:03 | Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.93 | $32.55 |
| 09-15 20:02 | Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | SELL | 0.148 | $1.33 |
| 09-15 16:34 | Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | SELL | 0.94 | $79.90 |
| 09-15 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.51 | $14.28 |
| 09-15 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.52 | $29.64 |
| 09-14 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.56 | $12.88 |
| 09-14 01:10 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.058 | $32.65 |
| 09-12 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 09-12 02:17 | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | SELL | 0.88 | $14.08 |
| 09-10 12:54 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $14.40 |
| 09-10 12:33 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.08 |