PolyBot

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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on October 6?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-06
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.514. up 0.264 over the period, from 0.250. Range 0.030 to 0.630. 45 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7001010
0.7921020
0.9474060
0.9573595
0.95833128
0.9625133
0.98050183
0.99965248

Spread0.450Mid0.475

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2502222
0.128527
0.020532
0.0106092
0.00165157

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7502222
0.872527
0.980532
0.9906092
0.99965157

Spread0.450Mid0.525

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3001010
0.2081020
0.0534060
0.0433595
0.04233128
0.0385133
0.02050183
0.00165248

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BismarckiaYes129.5
a5533Yes15.45
m7dk2Yes15
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes10.01
bhuumiYes9.99
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes5
0x3cef…23e0Yes4.01
0xc82459A8b18522a8a9DF056fb8ded5FAf52a5E0B-1775248858300Yes2.86
pyckwykNo70.71
0x567No20
plainvectorNo17
jaboobeliteNo15.45
0x8cff…3e06No12.5
0xd568…2863No12.5
0xa5ef…2966No10
TunSahurNo5.14
devilhorns1No5.01
SepieNo5
HarryBOBNo5
helloworld6767No4.86

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:04:22BUYNo0.755$3.75
23:56:17BUYNo0.5626$14.40
23:55:53BUYNo0.5620$11.20
22:54:35BUYNo0.5613$7.00
22:44:23BUYNo0.5599997762$1.00
21:22:59BUYYes0.256451612962$15.90
20:03:20BUYNo0.79899997165$4.00
19:42:26BUYNo0.799613$9.99
19:36:08BUYNo0.755$3.75
19:11:46BUYNo0.68415$10.57
16:14:35BUYNo0.8033$2.01
16:14:25BUYNo0.80299992892$2.00
16:14:25BUYNo0.775$3.74
16:14:25BUYNo0.76027237355$3.91
14:14:52BUYNo0.815$4.05
01:38:23BUYYes0.37910$3.79
01:38:22BUYYes0.37375409074$1.50
01:38:22BUYYes0.36999998253$1.06
01:38:22BUYYes0.375$1.85