PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HarryBOB

0xfc5e4bb3e1fcde9397d2ce9c7b9c4127cd8e5fd8

Realised P&L
$-318.79
Volume
$21.4k
Markets traded
1,774
Open portfolio
$153.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,774
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 2? · No0.6800.850$20.80+$4.16
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 1? · No0.8700.835$17.54−$0.73
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on October 2? · No0.9050.975$16.97+$1.22
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2? · No0.8600.950$14.59+$1.38
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3? · No0.3500.660$12.13+$5.70
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 2? · Yes0.2000.305$10.35+$3.56
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 2? · No0.3800.660$8.58+$3.64
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 1? · Yes0.5000.625$8.05+$1.61
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 2? · Yes0.4600.445$8.02−$0.27
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 1? · Yes0.3000.475$7.92+$2.92
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 1? · Yes0.1700.360$6.90+$3.64
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 1? · Yes0.2200.340$6.80+$2.40
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 1? · No0.7400.890$6.02+$1.02
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 2? · No0.6600.720$5.45+$0.45
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on October 2? · Yes0.3600.255$3.16−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:31Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 3?BUY0.3499999918$6.43
10-01 04:23Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 2?BUY0.2$6.79
09-30 20:12Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 1?BUY0.87$18.27
09-30 18:56Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.8599999505$13.21
09-30 17:22Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 2?BUY0.4599999778$8.29
09-30 16:01Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 1?BUY0.5$6.44
09-30 14:21Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1?BUY0.3299999759$2.46
09-30 12:45Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on October 2?BUY0.9049999957$15.75
09-30 12:31Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on October 2?BUY0.3599999968$4.46
09-30 12:24Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 1?BUY0.3499999879$4.33
09-30 11:09Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 2?BUY0.6799999935$16.64
09-30 11:01Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on October 1?BUY0.5$5.09
09-30 10:34Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 1?BUY0.1699999963$3.26
09-30 10:00Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 2?BUY0.659999963$5.00
09-30 08:08Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 2?BUY0.38$4.94