0xc82459A8b18522a8a9DF056fb8ded5FAf52a5E0B-1775248858300
0xc82459a8b18522a8a9df056fb8ded5faf52a5e0b
- Realised P&L
- $103.41
- Volume
- $48.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,451
- Open portfolio
- $406.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,451
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.83at 0.084Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 14?
- +$44.32at 0.118Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?
- +$41.61at 0.188Will it rain in Denver, CO on August 31?
- +$37.08at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 30?
- +$23.67at 0.265Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.37 |
| 09-22 11:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.993 | $1.03 |
| 09-22 11:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.995 | $0.89 |
| 09-22 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.9960958904 | $0.73 |
| 09-22 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.997 | $0.63 |
| 09-22 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.995 | $0.12 |
| 09-22 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.995 | $0.18 |
| 09-22 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.995 | $0.13 |
| 09-22 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.2799999509 | $1.37 |
| 09-22 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.2699999507 | $1.37 |
| 09-22 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.2599999749 | $2.49 |
| 09-22 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.259999969 | $1.51 |
| 09-22 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.6199999365 | $2.54 |
| 09-22 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.6199998573 | $1.39 |
| 09-22 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.5899998851 | $1.54 |