0x8cff4cba800254faa1f3508d1ce3e5bdb3003e06
0x8cff4cba800254faa1f3508d1ce3e5bdb3003e06
- Realised P&L
- $24.04
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 514
- Open portfolio
- $8.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded514
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.54at 0.052Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?
- +$81.29at 0.083Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
- +$63.52at 0.076Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?
- +$33.24at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?
- +$32.47at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on October 6? | BUY | 0.56 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 18:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 6? | BUY | 0.4393616853 | $7.00 |
| 10-02 06:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on October 2? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $7.00 |
| 09-26 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26? | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $7.00 |
| 09-25 09:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? | BUY | 0.5879999953 | $7.00 |
| 09-20 19:13 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.1220280781 | $7.00 |
| 09-18 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.6299999496 | $7.00 |
| 09-11 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on September 11? | BUY | 0.504237286 | $7.00 |
| 09-09 17:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 5°C or below on September 9? | BUY | 0.1024848881 | $7.00 |
| 09-09 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on September 9? | BUY | 0.0724825265 | $7.00 |
| 09-04 15:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on September 5? | BUY | 0.409999983 | $7.00 |
| 09-04 01:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on September 4? | BUY | 0.4899999741 | $7.00 |
| 09-02 13:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on September 2? | BUY | 0.2482905724 | $7.00 |
| 08-29 18:34 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or higher on August 30? | BUY | 0.409999983 | $7.00 |