PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Sepie

0xa4179b5a16ee0fc4ee1e0894cae173e807f6ef50

Realised P&L
$-537.04
Volume
$38.2k
Markets traded
4,500
Open portfolio
$15.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,500
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 6? · No0.6600.982$4.91+$1.61
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 5? · No0.7400.920$4.60+$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 6? · No0.7000.665$3.33−$0.17
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on October 6? · No0.7500.519$2.60−$1.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Up0.5900.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down0.7800.000$0.00−$5.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Down0.8200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Down0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Down0.5700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Down0.7900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down0.8200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Down0.7900.000$0.00−$5.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 00:04Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on October 6?BUY0.75$3.75
10-06 00:04Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5?SELL0.001$0.01
10-05 22:12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 6?BUY0.7$3.50
10-05 21:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 5?SELL0.991$4.96
10-05 21:30Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5?BUY0.876$4.38
10-05 21:06Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5?SELL0.011$0.05
10-05 19:57Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 5?SELL0.99$4.95
10-05 19:19Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 5?SELL0.24$1.20
10-05 18:22Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on October 5?SELL0.99$4.95
10-05 18:18Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on October 5?BUY0.85$4.25
10-05 18:13Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 6?BUY0.66$3.30
10-05 18:02Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 5?SELL0.99$4.95
10-05 17:54Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5?SELL0.99$4.95
10-05 16:32Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5?BUY0.812$4.06
10-05 16:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5?SELL0.99$4.95
Trader Sepie · PolyBot Pro