Sepie
0xa4179b5a16ee0fc4ee1e0894cae173e807f6ef50
- Realised P&L
- $-537.04
- Volume
- $38.2k
- Markets traded
- 4,500
- Open portfolio
- $15.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,500
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.51at 0.785Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$22.44at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$22.44at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
- +$22.44at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$22.44at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on October 6? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 10-06 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-05 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 10-05 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 10-05 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.876 | $4.38 |
| 10-05 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 10-05 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-05 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 10-05 18:22 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-05 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-05 18:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 10-05 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-05 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-05 16:32 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.812 | $4.06 |
| 10-05 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |