PolyBot

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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 3?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-03
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.992. up 0.647 over the period, from 0.345. Range 0.235 to 0.992. 51 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.996226226
0.99721247
0.9986253
0.99970323

Spread0.008Mid0.992

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9889494
0.985100194
0.980100294
0.9408303
0.7915308
0.79020328
0.50114342
0.50014356
0.45016372
0.43016388
0.40018405
0.35020425

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0129494
0.015100194
0.020100294
0.0608303
0.2095308
0.21020328
0.49914342
0.50014356
0.55016372
0.57016388
0.60018405
0.65020425

Spread0.008Mid0.008

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.004226226
0.00321247
0.0026253
0.00170323

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
wallingj13Yes226.02
UnknownCamer237Yes157.88
tradetosurvive1Yes114.17
hello.67Yes62.92
AsahikoYes50
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes44.66
arsenal85Yes40
5a82666suyuchenYes30
0x948f67A0D66C1C196491B149923BCd4fa2510b98-1776679190697Yes29.75
lyezzzzzYes25.55
westmenYes20.01
TunSahurYes20
0x0b88…63dfYes19.21
plainfolderYes18
haveagooddayYes18
suntoriYes14.52
yongzhuanziben007Yes10.11
0xd93e…7434Yes9
rocky42002Yes8.97
robert-mukhametovYes7.15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:07:24SELLYes0.9886$5.48
06:48:42BUYYes0.9834279199158$155.26
06:41:18SELLNo0.042$0.08
06:33:56BUYYes0.9710$9.70
06:27:15BUYYes0.9710$9.70
06:25:23BUYYes0.96183$175.96
06:25:23BUYNo0.04014520$0.80
06:25:23BUYYes0.975$4.97
06:23:38BUYYes0.920$0.06
06:23:36BUYYes0.91679122619$8.00
06:15:23BUYYes0.912$2.00
06:03:21SELLNo0.112169234541$4.59
06:03:20SELLNo0.1118$1.99
06:03:12SELLNo0.130668218943$5.61
06:02:29BUYYes0.867$6.02
06:02:00BUYYes0.761125276521$16.00
05:58:56SELLYes0.417$2.99
05:58:56BUYYes0.380017376223$8.75
05:58:27BUYYes0.277506246920$5.55
05:49:02BUYNo0.9710$9.70
05:48:56BUYNo0.968$7.76
05:46:06BUYNo0.7712$9.47
05:46:02BUYNo0.784444444418$14.12
05:28:15SELLNo0.42510$4.25
05:21:23BUYNo0.922718432143$39.60