PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

westmen

0xde8a0d3f55907de65925629a578a105f30c4a3fc

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$82.1k
Markets traded
775
Open portfolio
$495.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded775
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28? · No0.8671.000$271.20+$36.03
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 29? · No0.6880.705$207.71+$5.13
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 29? · Yes0.1800.210$16.80+$2.40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 30? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25? · No0.1350.000$0.00−$1.47
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$5.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 9? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$11.44
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on August 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29? · No0.0850.000$0.00−$8.18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 15? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$2.52
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24? · No0.1910.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28? · No0.1860.000$0.00−$6.47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 12:38Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.84$21.00
09-28 12:37Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 28?SELL0.03$1.72
09-28 12:36Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 28?SELL0.04$1.60
09-28 12:36Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.8418076923$30.64
09-28 12:32Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.86$19.95
09-28 11:59Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?BUY0.8805554358$122.55
09-28 10:55Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 28?SELL0.02375$0.64
09-28 10:55Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 28?SELL0.35$3.00
09-28 10:53Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 28?SELL0.03$0.75
09-28 10:05Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 28?SELL0.04$1.00
09-28 09:41Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 29?BUY0.18$14.40
09-28 09:39Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 29?BUY0.6390125407$64.71
09-28 07:52Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 28?SELL0.43$7.15
09-28 06:31Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 28?BUY0.13$12.15
09-28 06:30Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 28?BUY0.6072670632$64.33