0x948f67A0D66C1C196491B149923BCd4fa2510b98-1776679190697
0x948f67a0d66c1c196491b149923bcd4fa2510b98
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $78.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,820
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,820
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.40at 0.229Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 14?
- +$80.95at 0.300Will it rain in Denver, CO on August 31?
- +$71.98at 0.737Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$54.51at 0.491Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?
- +$47.40at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.88 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.95 | $38.00 |
| 09-20 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7864315537 | $8.00 |
| 09-20 09:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 09-20 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.69 | $17.25 |
| 09-20 09:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8305013238 | $22.00 |
| 09-20 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-20 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.727 | $7.27 |
| 09-20 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6499999973 | $12.00 |
| 09-20 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8215435745 | $18.00 |
| 09-20 08:58 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.52 |
| 09-20 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4479999713 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.75 | $18.75 |
| 09-20 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.794 | $11.91 |
| 09-20 08:41 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.819999993 | $7.00 |