PolyBot

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Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 1?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KLGA&format=raw&date=2026-11-02T08:00:00Z&hours=30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.331 over the period, from 0.350. Range 0.015 to 0.350. 57 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0371515
0.0384055
0.0402075
0.1082095
0.10915110
0.11070180
0.26620200
0.29320220
0.29450270
0.70010280
0.90015295
0.950315610

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9631515
0.9624055
0.9602075
0.8922095
0.89115110
0.89070180
0.73420200
0.70720220
0.70650270
0.30010280
0.10015295
0.050315610

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
e4s6r7.pmYes59
.MentheYes50
DollarStoreQuantYes48.98
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes42.92
CoffeinatedHumsterYes40
balthazarYes40
baerwiththegewehrYes28.85
honeylemon7Yes22
hello.67Yes19.53
cra1Yes15
0x0D59f44cFe3C230C119128310C541856430938DC-1792542007333Yes13.34
TENETENETYes10
NoWayJosephYes10
bhuumiYes5
triklozoidYes5
mustbethewaterYes2.86
0xa5ef…2966No252.44
yf111No121.99
Halfa-BetaNo28
BezdelnikNo10.04

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:06:19BUYNo0.99920$19.98
13:01:18BUYNo0.99911$11.14
12:59:54BUYNo0.99980$79.92
12:59:19BUYNo0.99942$41.95
06:11:07BUYNo0.99928$27.97
02:10:45BUYNo0.998733333330$29.96
23:10:45BUYNo0.9987$6.99
05:10:48SELLYes0.0015$0.01
05:10:40BUYNo0.99920$19.98
04:14:36BUYNo0.9584$3.83
04:14:34BUYNo0.95799999728$7.66
04:14:12BUYNo0.95799999728$7.66
04:13:31BUYNo0.9586$5.70
04:13:13BUYNo0.95799999776$5.79
04:13:12BUYNo0.95799999728$7.66
04:12:33BUYNo0.9694$3.88
04:12:07BUYNo0.9695$4.84
04:06:45BUYNo0.9910$9.90