honeylemon7
0xa8c9711b15779dc60d3046c675e61998636974f1
- Realised P&L
- $716.38
- Volume
- $2.09M
- Markets traded
- 1,860
- Open portfolio
- $390.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,860
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.60at 0.004US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
- +$122.99at 0.002Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
- +$110.58at 0.446Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours?
- +$107.53at 0.001Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
- +$107.13at 0.001Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:52 | Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 10-31 19:26 | Republican Senate odds hit 30% again by November 1? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 10-31 14:23 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 10-31 14:20 | Marco Palestra: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.999 | $54.95 |
| 10-31 14:04 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 14:03 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 10-28 02:32 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 18:17 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 10-24 18:03 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-21 03:07 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-19 20:10 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 05:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.073 | $0.46 |
| 10-19 05:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.0729999954 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 14:11 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $1.50 |
| 10-16 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.37 |