PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DollarStoreQuant

0x8383a695e82d69bff00d4032c7037b3eba01cb59

Realised P&L
$-990.60
Volume
$260.6k
Markets traded
1,209
Open portfolio
$50.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,209
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 1? · No0.7501.000$39.98+$9.98
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 1? · Yes0.3800.967$8.70+$5.28
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 1? · Yes0.0400.018$0.91−$1.05
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on November 1? · Yes0.0140.040$0.36+$0.23
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 1? · Yes0.2100.017$0.34−$3.86
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 1? · No0.5700.034$0.09−$1.50
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 1? · Yes0.1130.001$0.03−$6.77
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 1? · Yes0.1080.001$0.03−$5.62
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 56°F or higher on November 1? · Yes0.0140.001$0.01−$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8? · No0.1220.000$0.00−$13.33
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 5? · No0.0300.000$0.00−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 5? · No0.3600.000$0.00−$9.00
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on November 1? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.20
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 31? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$9.60
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 3? · No0.0610.000$0.00−$9.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 19:29Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 8?BUY0.08$1.36
09-08 18:13Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 8?BUY0.06$2.82
09-08 18:12Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 8?BUY0.04$0.32
09-08 18:10Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 8?BUY0.04$2.40
09-08 18:07Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 8?SELL0.99$36.63
09-08 17:12Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 8?SELL0.999$43.96
09-08 14:27Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 8?SELL0.999$85.91
09-08 12:39Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8?BUY0.04$0.32
09-08 12:36Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 8?SELL0.999$38.96
09-08 11:31Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8?BUY0.04$0.02
09-08 11:31Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8?BUY0.04$1.00
09-08 09:58Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 8?SELL0.999$23.98
09-08 08:46Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8?BUY0.27$6.75
09-08 06:53Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 8?BUY0.11$0.77
09-08 06:43Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 8?SELL0.999$15.98