PolyBot

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Traders

cra1

0x3a02262b7c63ebe4052a666d3040def84fbbad43

Realised P&L
$440.00
Volume
$261.1k
Markets traded
9,844
Open portfolio
$576.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,844
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 20? · No0.9900.994$14.91+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 20? · No0.9780.996$12.79+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 20? · No0.9700.985$12.19+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 20? · No0.9940.998$10.74+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? · No0.9710.999$10.43+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20? · No0.9700.999$10.13+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 20? · No0.9901.000$9.99+$0.10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? · No0.9601.000$9.99+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 20? · No0.9891.000$9.99+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19? · No0.9921.000$9.99+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20? · No0.9831.000$9.99+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 19? · No0.9951.000$9.99+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20? · No0.9611.000$9.99+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 20? · No0.9901.000$9.99+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 20? · No0.9601.000$9.99+$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 07:37Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 20?BUY0.989$4.95
09-20 07:27Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 20?BUY0.97$9.70
09-20 06:30Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.95$1.76
09-20 02:15Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.99$4.95
09-20 01:57Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.98$4.90
09-19 18:57Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19?BUY0.97$4.85
09-19 15:28Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.99$0.56
09-19 14:37Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.98$9.80
09-19 14:06Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.97$4.85
09-19 12:16Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.99$9.90
09-19 11:56Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.99$9.90
09-19 09:01Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.97$7.76
09-19 08:57Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 19?BUY0.995$4.97
09-19 08:26Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 20?BUY0.97$9.70
09-19 06:51Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 20?BUY0.97$9.70