PolyBot

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Traders

cra1

0x3a02262b7c63ebe4052a666d3040def84fbbad43

Realised P&L
$73.72
Volume
$45.9k
Markets traded
1,494
Open portfolio
$172.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,494
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 19:32Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 6?BUY0.991$9.91
08-05 19:26Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 5?BUY0.97$7.76
08-05 19:01Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 5?BUY0.98$9.80
08-05 18:39Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 6?BUY0.99$9.90
08-05 17:44Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6?BUY0.975$9.75
08-05 15:50Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6?BUY0.98$9.80
08-05 15:33Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 5?BUY0.99$4.95
08-05 05:30Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 6?BUY0.997875$9.98
08-05 04:58Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.98$9.80
08-05 03:36Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 5?BUY0.96$4.80
08-05 01:42Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 5?BUY0.998$9.98
08-05 01:28Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 6?BUY0.989$0.49
08-05 00:40Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 5?BUY0.98$4.90
08-04 23:40Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 5?BUY0.989$9.89
08-04 21:08Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4?BUY0.99$4.95