cra1
0x3a02262b7c63ebe4052a666d3040def84fbbad43
- Realised P&L
- $73.72
- Volume
- $45.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,494
- Open portfolio
- $172.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,494
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.15at 0.011Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 1?
- +$35.74at 0.009Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 2?
- +$29.30at 0.013Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 28?
- +$29.26at 0.013Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?
- +$28.90at 0.015Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:32 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 08-05 19:26 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.76 |
| 08-05 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-05 18:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-05 17:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.75 |
| 08-05 15:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-05 15:33 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-05 05:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.997875 | $9.98 |
| 08-05 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-05 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 08-05 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-05 01:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.989 | $0.49 |
| 08-05 00:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-04 23:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 08-04 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |