e4s6r7.pm
0x75bf0a286785573e59c6db82f7282836dec0870d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $108.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,364
- Open portfolio
- $16.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,364
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 19? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.310 | $16.43 | −$5.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.05at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 6?
- +$45.43at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C on September 22?
- +$43.80at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 11?
- +$42.98at 0.050Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 22?
- +$42.83at 0.140Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 23:55 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.47 |
| 10-03 23:55 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.51 | $7.11 |
| 10-03 23:54 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.49 | $11.76 |
| 10-03 23:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.71 | $16.33 |
| 10-03 23:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.8316072003 | $25.87 |
| 09-28 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.36 |
| 09-28 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.89 |
| 09-25 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.37 | $16.65 |
| 09-25 18:35 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.55 | $7.70 |
| 09-25 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.08 |
| 09-25 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.10 |
| 09-25 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 25? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.12 |
| 09-25 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 25? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.10 |
| 09-25 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.12 |