Halfa-Beta
0x087832036d877284a544d4b4d45bc0ce27a97b50
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $2.14M
- Markets traded
- 9,975
- Open portfolio
- $8.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,975
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.58at 0.987Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on March 11?
- +$53.90at 0.933Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on March 29?
- +$41.47at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on May 14?
- +$31.13at 0.979Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?
- +$27.67at 0.938Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.56 |
| 09-19 01:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.9815473441 | $21.25 |
| 09-19 00:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.00 |
| 09-19 00:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.97 |
| 09-19 00:49 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.9986097561 | $40.94 |
| 09-19 00:48 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 00:47 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.16 |
| 09-18 17:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 20°C or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 09-18 17:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9986097561 | $40.94 |
| 09-18 17:34 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9983846154 | $25.96 |
| 09-18 17:34 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9983846154 | $25.96 |
| 09-18 17:34 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9983846154 | $25.96 |
| 09-18 17:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-18 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.43 |
| 09-18 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on September 19? | BUY | 0.995 | $15.35 |