PolyBot

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Traders

Halfa-Beta

0x087832036d877284a544d4b4d45bc0ce27a97b50

Realised P&L
$4.8k
Volume
$2.14M
Markets traded
9,975
Open portfolio
$8.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,975
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on September 18? · No0.9991.000$590.70+$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on September 18? · No0.9991.000$499.77+$0.25
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19? · No0.9990.997$498.50$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on September 18? · No0.9981.000$420.83+$0.63
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on September 19? · No0.9991.000$399.82+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or below on September 20? · No0.9990.998$399.22$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 18? · No0.9951.000$348.30+$1.62
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on September 18? · No0.9991.000$299.86+$0.15
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on September 18? · No0.9991.000$299.86+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19? · No0.9990.999$299.56$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on September 20? · No0.9980.998$299.28$0.15
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 18? · No0.9981.000$290.85+$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 19? · No0.9940.995$262.01+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on September 19? · No0.9991.000$199.90+$0.10
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on September 20? · No0.9990.995$198.91$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 01:19Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 20?BUY0.999$27.56
09-19 01:17Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on September 18?BUY0.9815473441$21.25
09-19 00:55Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on September 19?BUY0.96$12.00
09-19 00:49Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 20?BUY0.98$19.97
09-19 00:49Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on September 20?BUY0.9986097561$40.94
09-19 00:48Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19?BUY0.999$5.00
09-19 00:47Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 18?BUY0.99$3.16
09-18 17:35Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 20°C or below on September 19?BUY0.999$10.99
09-18 17:35Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 21°C on September 19?BUY0.9986097561$40.94
09-18 17:34Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on September 20?BUY0.9983846154$25.96
09-18 17:34Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on September 20?BUY0.9983846154$25.96
09-18 17:34Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on September 20?BUY0.9983846154$25.96
09-18 17:34Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on September 19?BUY0.97$4.85
09-18 17:32Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.98$29.43
09-18 17:32Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on September 19?BUY0.995$15.35