PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 15?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-15
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.005. down 0.215 over the period, from 0.220. Range 0.005 to 0.450. 55 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0099191
0.0103,9894,080
0.020254,105
0.03054,110
0.03694,119
0.03794,128
0.070114,139
0.100114,150
0.110204,170
0.480134,184
0.490144,197
0.500194,216

Spread0.008Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001160160

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999160160

Spread0.008Mid0.995

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9919191
0.9903,9894,080
0.980254,105
0.97054,110
0.96494,119
0.96394,128
0.930114,139
0.900114,150
0.890204,170
0.520134,184
0.510144,197
0.500194,216

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x9506…1c4fYes303.05
mashuuuuYes140.35
wallingj13Yes140.11
WrongBy1DegreeYes116.23
nexvsYes100
huskyvsYes90.14
priorlabYes90.13
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes88.99
gghffYes75.5
0xyahnYes61.33
PoligarchYes59.93
HBX02Yes50
StayFreshCheeseBagsYes48.9
hfrozendancerYes47.34
quadrant6Yes44.19
foreverstokedYes42.07
RiskyMoolahYes40
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes35.67
weather12345Yes34
travalerYes32.9

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:31:17BUYYes0.087511290742$3.68
12:31:13SELLNo0.992$1.63
12:31:11SELLNo0.962$1.98
12:31:10SELLNo0.961$1.24
12:31:08BUYNo0.9970$69.48
12:31:07BUYNo0.99164$162.29
12:31:04BUYNo0.9870$68.78
12:31:04BUYNo0.9910$9.90
12:30:50SELLYes0.025$0.10
12:28:38SELLYes0.0216$0.32
12:28:25BUYNo0.961$1.02
12:28:23BUYNo0.948085381631$29.31
12:25:59BUYYes0.0911$0.98
12:25:35BUYNo0.961$1.02
12:25:34BUYNo0.948162102654$51.59
12:25:11BUYNo0.925925925932$30.00
12:20:23BUYNo0.8811$9.68
12:15:04BUYYes0.146$0.88
12:14:23BUYNo0.865$4.30
12:12:26BUYYes0.18510$1.85
12:09:26BUYNo0.9110$9.10
12:08:59SELLYes0.091266336222$2.03
12:08:34SELLYes0.138190515824$3.32
12:08:23SELLYes0.2412$2.95
12:08:23BUYYes0.245$1.20