PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4090365992bf22D152fa9fbA4Aab12c00499Fd58-1778526855307

0x4090365992bf22d152fa9fba4aab12c00499fd58

Realised P&L
$41.80
Volume
$499.12
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$138.40

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%? · Yes0.3300.973$21.82+$14.42
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · Yes0.9300.950$13.24+$0.28
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? · No0.9500.949$12.94$0.02
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.5700.565$11.89$0.11
Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.9000.995$10.23+$0.98
Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? · Yes0.9401.000$9.84+$0.59
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? · No0.8780.994$8.37+$0.97
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? · Yes0.6600.750$7.50+$0.90
Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week? · No0.9300.925$7.36$0.04
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during September Press Conference? · Yes0.9000.895$7.36$0.04
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? · No0.6000.595$5.95$0.05
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? · No0.7901.000$5.85+$1.23
Will Frank Ocean release a new song in 2026? · No0.8100.775$4.34$0.20
Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? · No0.7500.710$4.30$0.24
Will Elon post "Iran" or "Iranian" on X this week? · No0.9400.540$4.25$3.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 01:10Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5699999886$12.00
09-16 00:31Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.9299999978$12.96
09-16 00:26Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.95$12.96
09-15 21:10Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?SELL0.942$5.88
09-15 20:52Will Warsh say "Productivity" during September Press Conference?BUY0.9$7.40
09-15 12:28Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.66$6.60
09-15 12:27Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.6$6.00
09-15 09:41Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 24?BUY0.81$2.83
09-14 06:41Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.91$5.12
09-14 02:57Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.89$4.95
09-14 01:33Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.004$0.02
09-13 18:10Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.25$1.38
09-13 16:40Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?BUY0.569999973$7.40
09-13 16:39Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?SELL0.43$6.49
09-13 16:39Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?BUY0.489999994$7.40