priorlab
0x4090365992bf22d152fa9fba4aab12c00499fd58
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $50.6k
- Markets traded
- 366
- Open portfolio
- $82.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded366
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.00at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 15?
- +$100.00at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 15?
- +$79.51at 0.100Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?
- +$77.47at 0.732Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
- +$53.11at 0.142Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 04:54 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $80.02 |
| 10-27 04:54 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.69 | $81.34 |
| 10-27 04:54 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.71 | $148.57 |
| 10-27 04:54 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | SELL | 0.9355851001 | $345.98 |
| 10-26 07:45 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | SELL | 0.88 | $6.66 |
| 10-25 23:15 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $160.92 |
| 10-25 23:02 | Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-25 04:29 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | SELL | 0.977 | $9.28 |
| 10-25 03:47 | Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 10-22 16:58 | Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | SELL | 0.51 | $13.04 |
| 10-21 13:49 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $201.03 |
| 10-21 13:49 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $27.25 |
| 10-21 13:49 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $33.59 |
| 10-21 13:49 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $157.16 |
| 10-21 13:46 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? | SELL | 0.38 | $13.45 |