0x4090365992bf22D152fa9fbA4Aab12c00499Fd58-1778526855307
0x4090365992bf22d152fa9fba4aab12c00499fd58
- Realised P&L
- $41.80
- Volume
- $499.12
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $138.40
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.46at 0.580Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game?
- +$5.32at 0.470Will Sabina Matos be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee?
- +$4.53at 0.510Will Xaykham Khamsyvoravong be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee?
- +$4.30at 0.430Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
- +$4.18at 0.530Will Trump say "Stock" or "Record" during remarks at the Pentagon?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 01:10 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $12.00 |
| 09-16 00:31 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.9299999978 | $12.96 |
| 09-16 00:26 | Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.96 |
| 09-15 21:10 | Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | SELL | 0.942 | $5.88 |
| 09-15 20:52 | Will Warsh say "Productivity" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.40 |
| 09-15 12:28 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 09-15 12:27 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 09:41 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 24? | BUY | 0.81 | $2.83 |
| 09-14 06:41 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.12 |
| 09-14 02:57 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.95 |
| 09-14 01:33 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 09-13 18:10 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.38 |
| 09-13 16:40 | Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game? | BUY | 0.569999973 | $7.40 |
| 09-13 16:39 | Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game? | SELL | 0.43 | $6.49 |
| 09-13 16:39 | Will the announcers say "Wild" during the Cardinals vs Chargers game? | BUY | 0.489999994 | $7.40 |