PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

travaler

0x1fd2cf88897aef0f308785ac880b9d72b12cb7f8

Realised P&L
$-17.3k
Volume
$1.30M
Markets traded
903
Open portfolio
$100.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded903
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? · Yes0.3661.000$25.15+$15.94
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 26? · Yes0.3131.000$23.60+$16.20
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 26? · Yes0.5700.660$13.20+$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27? · Yes0.2550.240$9.60−$0.60
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 27? · Yes0.4000.525$8.93+$2.13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 27? · Yes0.5200.530$7.96+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 27? · Yes0.4600.455$6.83−$0.07
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27? · Yes0.4400.210$3.78−$4.14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 27? · Yes0.1440.130$1.30−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 26? · Yes0.3630.001$0.02−$11.04
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 26? · Yes0.1800.001$0.01−$5.38
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27? · Yes0.4400.001$0.01−$10.99
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26? · Yes0.4600.001$0.01−$9.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26? · Yes0.4950.001$0.01−$9.61
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 26? · Yes0.0900.001$0.01−$1.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 18:32Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 27?BUY0.52$7.81
09-26 18:31Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.26$5.20
09-26 18:30Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.25$2.50
09-26 18:30Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27?BUY0.25$2.50
09-26 18:28Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 27?BUY0.46$6.90
09-26 18:26Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 26?BUY0.57$11.40
09-26 18:24Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 27?BUY0.14422$1.44
09-26 18:23Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27?BUY0.44$11.00
09-26 07:37Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?BUY0.5$5.00
09-26 07:37Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26?BUY0.49$4.62
09-26 07:35Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27?BUY0.44$7.92
09-26 07:35Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 27?BUY0.4$6.80
09-26 07:34Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26?BUY0.37$1.85
09-26 07:34Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26?BUY0.37$3.70
09-26 07:33Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26?BUY0.36$3.66