travaler
0x1fd2cf88897aef0f308785ac880b9d72b12cb7f8
- Realised P&L
- $-17.3k
- Volume
- $1.30M
- Markets traded
- 903
- Open portfolio
- $100.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded903
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.931Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
- +$1.5kat 0.944Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
- +$989.12at 0.856Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$798.31at 0.671Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?
- +$735.42at 0.658Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.52 | $7.81 |
| 09-26 18:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 09-26 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-26 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-26 18:28 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.46 | $6.90 |
| 09-26 18:26 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-26 18:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.14422 | $1.44 |
| 09-26 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.44 | $11.00 |
| 09-26 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.62 |
| 09-26 07:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.44 | $7.92 |
| 09-26 07:35 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.80 |
| 09-26 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-26 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-26 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.66 |