PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-12
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.33. Unchanged over the period, from 0.33. Range 0.33 to 0.49. 39 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.351515
0.363549
0.3755104
0.388112
0.398119
0.4416135
0.450136
0.461136
0.520137
0.547143
0.567150
0.587157

Spread0.05Mid0.32

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.309595
0.2968162
0.285167
0.2314181
0.1926208
0.1656264
0.15429693
0.14201893
0.131,3452,238
0.08202,258
0.07202,278
0.061002,378

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.709595
0.7168162
0.725167
0.7714181
0.8126208
0.8456264
0.85429693
0.86201893
0.871,3452,238
0.92202,258
0.93202,278
0.941002,378

Spread0.05Mid0.68

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.651515
0.643549
0.6355104
0.628112
0.618119
0.5616135
0.550136
0.541136
0.480137
0.467143
0.447150
0.427157

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
tradetosurvive1Yes222.86
cleaningLadyYes95.95
weatherguruYes55
Alcaraz2026Yes53.99
jianghai01Yes51.48
CharlieNewhouseYes50
hn54pVpVmJsjn2CAYes45.68
0xbD6cBe1b94E0AE80B272124bF26b9694EDae1e6d-1769390949481Yes43.96
sfhjhYes40
KakawhereugoYes32.73
sdgg47Yes29.44
PythiaWPDYes28
Mymycrousty67Yes25.77
Mikhail2026Yes21.74
tbarack27Yes21
huansonYes20.99
flynatolYes20.94
whhiskyYes20.13
Upside-DownYes20
0x2dC89DF283eee5F3A694062fa82691F6c39D9c23-1775590736059Yes18.67

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:27:36BUYYes0.34999995445$1.92
19:27:33BUYYes0.345$1.70
19:27:33BUYYes0.34999998253$1.00
19:27:12BUYYes0.34999998253$1.00
19:27:12BUYYes0.345$1.70
19:26:55BUYYes0.34999995445$1.92
19:26:52BUYYes0.345$1.70
19:26:52BUYYes0.33999993883$1.00
19:26:33BUYYes0.34999998253$1.00
19:26:33BUYYes0.345$1.70
19:26:21BUYYes0.34999995445$1.92
19:26:18BUYYes0.34961538813$1.00
19:26:18BUYYes0.347$2.38
19:23:15BUYYes0.33999993883$1.00
19:07:28SELLYes0.3113$3.97
17:26:43BUYNo0.689999996372$49.70
17:18:28BUYYes0.34999998253$1.00
17:18:28BUYYes0.345$1.70
17:13:49BUYYes0.3599999555$1.92
17:13:48BUYYes0.35231935353$1.00
17:13:48BUYYes0.345$1.70
17:09:28BUYYes0.3498600213$1.00
17:09:27BUYYes0.348$2.55
16:15:03BUYYes0.34999998253$1.00
16:05:46BUYYes0.366942134216$6.00