sdgg47
0x2a31bd4a89e56b3a6c574b86ef6f05734d4da89e
- Realised P&L
- $-202.11
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 479
- Open portfolio
- $1.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded479
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23? · No | 0.680 | 0.120 | $1.20 | −$5.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.68at 0.846Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$14.13at 0.513Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 11?
- +$13.59at 0.826Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 10?
- +$11.96at 0.680Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 13?
- +$8.99at 0.916Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 17:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $3.97 |
| 09-20 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999907 | $3.96 |
| 09-20 16:43 | Solana Up or Down - September 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $3.97 |
| 09-20 16:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $3.97 |
| 09-20 16:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8799998752 | $3.95 |
| 09-20 16:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $3.97 |
| 09-20 16:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9099999908 | $3.96 |
| 09-20 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $3.97 |
| 09-20 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9299998266 | $3.97 |
| 09-20 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $3.97 |
| 09-20 15:02 | Solana Up or Down - September 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $3.97 |
| 09-20 03:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9299998266 | $3.97 |
| 09-20 03:22 | Solana Up or Down - September 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $3.97 |
| 09-20 02:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999665 | $3.91 |
| 09-20 02:46 | Solana Up or Down - September 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999748 | $3.88 |