Mikhail2026
0x419348ae99bdd452a5388b97190ff3885776f60b
- Realised P&L
- $-41.94
- Volume
- $705.64
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $32.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.170 | $7.08 | +$2.92 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.505 | $6.47 | +$1.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.390 | $4.33 | −$0.44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.155 | $4.31 | −$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.244 | 0.225 | $3.82 | −$0.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.135 | $2.41 | −$2.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.125 | $2.31 | −$2.69 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.060 | $1.76 | −$1.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.17at 0.701Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs
- +$-5.13at 0.492Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs
- +$-6.60at 0.536Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$-16.07at 0.700Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$-16.30at 0.600Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:52 | Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 20:45 | Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.78 |
| 10-02 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.37 | $4.74 |
| 10-02 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2443396226 | $4.14 |
| 10-02 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.17 |
| 10-02 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.44 |
| 10-02 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.64 |
| 10-02 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.53 |
| 10-02 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 05:34 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $11.28 |
| 10-02 05:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.4771428571 | $33.40 |
| 10-02 05:33 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.44 |
| 10-02 05:33 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $12.48 |