PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

huanson

0x8bb2d7c8c1d3eb5db05eee206f7a3854abc8d8d4

Realised P&L
$-178.60
Volume
$180.5k
Markets traded
771
Open portfolio
$89.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded771
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September? · No0.7000.996$20.91+$6.21
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September? · Yes0.4700.895$18.80+$8.93
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 30? · No0.8100.795$16.70−$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 28? · No0.5700.580$8.09+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 28? · No0.7601.000$6.00+$1.44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28? · Yes0.4901.000$6.00+$3.06
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 30? · Yes0.4400.410$4.51−$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on September 29? · Yes0.2500.225$4.35−$0.48
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September? · No0.6400.105$2.21−$11.23
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 29? · Yes0.2800.425$2.13+$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 24? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$2.04
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$1.86
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 10? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.80
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10? · Yes0.2880.000$0.00−$10.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 15:00Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 30?BUY0.44$4.84
09-28 10:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.49$2.94
09-28 04:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 28?BUY0.76$4.56
09-27 09:00Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 27?BUY0.28$4.76
09-27 04:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 27?BUY0.74$4.44
09-26 13:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 26?BUY0.71$4.26
09-26 10:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 27?BUY0.5536111885$4.48
09-26 04:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 26?BUY0.41$4.51
09-15 04:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 15?BUY0.8$4.00
09-11 17:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 11?BUY0.8$4.80
09-01 03:00Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on September 1?BUY0.44$4.84
09-01 03:00Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 1?BUY0.68$4.76
08-27 16:27Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 28?BUY0.6$3.00
08-20 21:01Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or higher on August 21?BUY0.0136650793$4.44
08-20 21:01Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 21?BUY0.0060783023$4.70