sfhjh
0xe2a8b9d23a85619b011eba285b511a238ffbbc16
- Realised P&L
- $23.78
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $556.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.67at 0.083Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$15.90at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET
- +$14.36at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11AM ET
- +$13.16at 0.233Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$10.40at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.25 |
| 10-03 08:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-02 23:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 05-18 03:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $12.92 |
| 05-18 01:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 05-14 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2571428082 | $3.00 |
| 05-14 11:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 05-14 02:26 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999891 | $6.24 |
| 04-26 03:35 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.81 |
| 04-26 03:35 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0359999863 | $2.50 |
| 04-26 01:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999635 | $2.54 |
| 04-25 23:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.379999962 | $2.73 |
| 04-25 23:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999933 | $2.86 |