PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 3?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=RJTT&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T18:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.53. up 0.12 over the period, from 0.41. Range 0.40 to 0.55. 19 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.54383383
0.55586970
0.5660,17261,142
0.57861,150
0.584561,195
0.595061,245
0.60561,250
0.616061,310
0.621961,330
0.64661,335
0.65661,341
0.66661,347

Spread0.02Mid0.53

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.529595
0.50292387
0.488394
0.478402
0.4587489
0.3920509
0.3810519
0.3557576
0.3020596
0.236602
0.2030632
0.1940672

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.489595
0.50292387
0.528394
0.538402
0.5587489
0.6120509
0.6210519
0.6557576
0.7020596
0.776602
0.8030632
0.8140672

Spread0.02Mid0.47

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.46383383
0.45586970
0.4460,17261,142
0.43861,150
0.424561,195
0.415061,245
0.40561,250
0.396061,310
0.381961,330
0.36661,335
0.35661,341
0.34661,347

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x65f7…8b98Yes697.2
BoridasYes81.25
ThermomenalYes56
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes54.85
0xf8db…ca1dYes50
rubby-always-winsYes42.27
MoneyForSky06Yes38.2
3636yuchensuYes30.44
newbie147Yes30
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes20
pisukeeeYes11.52
tbarack27Yes10
sunmoonstarYes9
gghffYes7.25
pombosYes5
0x7b84Bd1a12AAc89CDe361a09a3176BE7ecB9a108-1773318878799Yes5
0xa5ef…2966No450.56
hfvNo241.57
fregdf12fNo60
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493No54.53

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:28:58SELLYes0.520$0.18
23:20:03BUYNo0.493$1.54
23:20:03BUYNo0.4910$4.95
23:19:52BUYNo0.489999996210$5.14
23:00:04BUYNo0.4910$4.90
23:00:03BUYNo0.4744$20.81
20:40:07BUYNo0.4720$9.40
20:40:07BUYNo0.475$2.42
20:16:39BUYNo0.45999993386$2.92
19:41:43BUYNo0.475$2.35
19:38:43BUYYes0.5412$6.22
19:10:03BUYYes0.519999997242$21.98
19:10:03BUYNo0.4920$9.80
19:10:03BUYNo0.495$2.61
19:06:40BUYYes0.539$4.77
19:06:39BUYYes0.5261$31.85
19:06:39BUYYes0.4737436102452$214.08
19:06:39BUYNo0.53$1.45
19:06:39BUYNo0.59$4.50
19:06:37BUYYes0.496428571456$27.80
19:06:37BUYYes0.48100$48.00
19:00:58BUYNo0.556$3.47
19:00:55BUYNo0.555$2.75
19:00:52BUYNo0.5515$8.25
18:32:19BUYNo0.555$2.75