PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 19?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-19
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.002 to 0.005. 32 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002269269
0.00920289
0.01032321
0.0117328
0.0125333
0.01929362
0.020162524
0.02920544
0.03720564
0.03840604
0.04032636
0.04116652

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001539539

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999539539

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998269269
0.99120289
0.99032321
0.9897328
0.9885333
0.98129362
0.980162524
0.97120544
0.96320564
0.96240604
0.96032636
0.95916652

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
TRACKER2Yes520.46
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes88.52
0X496f76bd5cf4c2819c710ae90ed1c84b2dc6fa5dYes80
WGainfulInsightYes52.78
wildestdogYes47.04
neverhackmeYes43.4
LucerysYes40.74
youtube-traderYes40
ISddIYes30
balthazarYes29.99
KastellvalenYes20
SpringlyFawlYes16.48
TENETENETYes10
sonofweather67Yes9.99
triklozoidYes4.99
0xa5ef…2966No1,025.83
FiomsNo6
0xc66f…6c80No1.09
weather-highest-strangleNo1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:46:15SELLYes0.0012$0.00
07:41:25BUYNo0.99913$13.09
07:41:25BUYNo0.99920$19.98
06:26:04BUYNo0.9995$5.00
06:26:04BUYNo0.99950$49.47
06:22:48BUYNo0.9995$5.00
06:16:15SELLYes0.0013$0.00
06:11:21BUYNo0.99910$9.99
06:10:46BUYNo0.99935$34.91
06:00:21BUYNo0.99910$9.99
06:00:21BUYNo0.9995$5.11
05:51:07BUYNo0.99929$29.27
05:51:06BUYNo0.9995$5.06
05:47:28BUYNo0.99910$9.99
05:47:28BUYNo0.99915$15.35
04:25:57SELLYes0.0010$0.00
04:11:54BUYNo0.9997$6.99
03:35:54BUYNo0.9997$7.32
03:12:21BUYNo0.9997$7.17
23:32:45BUYNo0.9991$1.00
23:02:06BUYNo0.9991$1.09
23:02:06BUYNo0.9997$6.78
23:02:06BUYNo0.9995$5.40
19:43:33BUYNo0.99910$9.99
19:43:33BUYNo0.9995$5.11