PolyBot

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Traders

WGainfulInsight

0xffd058182d5d898c55349fad86ea71e72550cd07

Realised P&L
$-22.5k
Volume
$1.04M
Markets traded
8,152
Open portfolio
$62.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,152
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 00:11Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 20?SELL0.4$1.35
09-18 23:48Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 20?SELL0.21$1.31
09-18 23:14Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 20?SELL0.8$3.44
09-18 20:51Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 20?SELL0.45$1.30
09-18 20:24Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19?SELL0.14$0.32
09-18 18:31Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 19?SELL0.86$1.76
09-18 18:11Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19?SELL0.58$3.04
09-18 18:06Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 19?SELL0.02$0.06
09-18 18:06Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 19?SELL0.01$0.02
09-18 18:06Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 19?SELL0.001$0.00
09-18 17:46Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19?SELL0.37$1.38
09-18 15:58Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 19?SELL0.01$0.03
09-18 15:58Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 19?SELL0.03$0.09
09-18 15:58Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on September 19?SELL0.002$0.01
09-18 15:58Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 19?SELL0.05$0.16