WGainfulInsight
0xffd058182d5d898c55349fad86ea71e72550cd07
- Realised P&L
- $-22.5k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 8,152
- Open portfolio
- $62.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,152
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.36at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 2?
- +$138.46at 0.302England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
- +$122.22at 0.640Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?
- +$89.36at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 21?
- +$84.60at 0.430Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.35 |
| 09-18 23:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.31 |
| 09-18 23:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.8 | $3.44 |
| 09-18 20:51 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.30 |
| 09-18 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.32 |
| 09-18 18:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.76 |
| 09-18 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.58 | $3.04 |
| 09-18 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.06 |
| 09-18 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.02 |
| 09-18 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-18 17:46 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.38 |
| 09-18 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |
| 09-18 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.09 |
| 09-18 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.16 |