PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc66fd1979266ac4696279e60a6a071ac55076c80

Realised P&L
$102.14
Volume
$29.0k
Markets traded
238
Open portfolio
$18.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded238
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No0.3700.390$2.26+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 18? · No0.6900.850$1.33+$0.25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 30%-35%? · Yes0.1700.090$1.12$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 19? · No0.9700.985$1.11+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 19? · No0.9981.000$1.09+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on September 19? · No0.9991.000$1.09+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 19? · No0.9990.999$1.09$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 18? · No0.9970.993$1.08$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 19? · No0.9900.985$1.08$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 18? · No0.9900.985$1.08$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 19? · No0.9990.994$1.08$0.01
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.2400.235$1.07$0.02
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No0.1090.102$1.02$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 19? · No0.8500.775$0.99$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19? · No0.4700.435$0.99$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 09:42Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.3699999862$1.07
09-18 09:42Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.3699999862$1.07
09-18 09:42Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 30%-35%?BUY0.1699999759$1.06
09-18 09:40Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 30%-35%?BUY0.1699999759$1.06
09-18 09:33Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?SELL0.958$1.13
09-18 09:33Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?SELL0.95$1.30
09-18 09:32Ljubljana: Mona Barthel vs Mia RisticSELL0.999$2.43
09-17 23:04Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 18?BUY0.6899997317$1.08
09-17 23:04Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 18?BUY0.997$1.09
09-17 23:04Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.99$1.09
09-17 23:02Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.849999961$1.09
09-17 23:02Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.998$1.09
09-17 23:02Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.99$1.09
09-17 23:02Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.97$1.09
09-17 23:02Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 19?BUY0.999$1.09