PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 3?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=LFPB&format=raw&date=2026-11-04T02:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.27. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.07 to 0.27. 19 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2955
0.306065
0.311277
0.3279157
0.3340197
0.348205
0.3519224
0.3680304
0.3915319
0.4360379
0.4462441
0.506447

Spread0.05Mid0.27

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.24187187
0.2345232
0.2214246
0.1946292
0.17173465
0.16218683
0.1419702
0.1338740
0.11113854
0.1054908
0.0956963
0.042721,235

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.76187187
0.7745232
0.7814246
0.8146292
0.83173465
0.84218683
0.8619702
0.8738740
0.89113854
0.9054908
0.9156963
0.962721,235

Spread0.05Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7155
0.706065
0.691277
0.6879157
0.6740197
0.668205
0.6519224
0.6480304
0.6115319
0.5760379
0.5662441
0.506447

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x65f7…8b98Yes459.03
rubby-always-winsYes294.48
Certified-LoserYes193.5
ThermomenalYes147.82
mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmudYes52
mashuuuuYes39.92
newbie147Yes30
weather12345Yes25
TakeYourTemperatureYes20.24
shizuku1Yes19.38
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes11.51
0xfc163bce897b5e993940889d6a6c2b88d414e212-1792453616109Yes5.67
0xa5ef…2966No397.39
hfvNo142.43
0x7Ec15A5DD6223b951F0e106574592D567a0eE2e3-1779034944805No122.42
ghlhjkeNo75.74
wunderwomanNo65.03
ImBadAtMathNo64.88
shipingNo60
GodofGamblers69No53.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:13:42SELLYes0.241$0.21
00:13:40BUYYes0.2129468259459$97.75
00:13:40BUYYes0.2418400784143$34.54
00:13:40BUYYes0.229999991421$4.80
00:13:40BUYYes0.2520$5.06
00:07:13BUYNo0.8310$8.62
00:07:12BUYNo0.8320$16.60
23:26:25BUYNo0.834$3.59
23:25:34BUYNo0.832$1.59
23:25:24BUYNo0.8314$11.42
23:10:28BUYNo0.836$4.98
22:00:57BUYNo0.816$4.86
21:47:34SELLNo0.740$0.17
21:47:34BUYYes0.2216$3.52
21:47:33BUYYes0.209999990116$3.41
20:11:46BUYNo0.817$13.70
20:00:03BUYYes0.2511$2.66
19:20:03BUYYes0.2516$3.95
19:06:22BUYNo0.824$3.28
19:06:22BUYNo0.81999998362$2.00
19:06:21BUYNo0.81999998364$3.00
19:00:03BUYYes0.219999993427$5.98
18:40:03BUYYes0.2140136049100$21.45
18:17:19BUYYes0.209999996444$9.29
18:00:03BUYYes0.179999990410$1.88