PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 2?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=EDDM&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T02:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.36. up 0.16 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.17 to 0.47. 37 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3955
0.408287
0.4490177
0.4550227
0.4610237
0.4910247
0.506253
0.526260
0.547266
0.567273
0.587280
0.5925305

Spread0.05Mid0.36

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.34100100
0.338108
0.328116
0.1920136
0.1820156
0.1520176
0.1461237
0.1336272
0.1256328
0.11100428
0.09116544
0.06200744

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.66100100
0.678108
0.688116
0.8120136
0.8220156
0.8520176
0.8661237
0.8736272
0.8856328
0.89100428
0.91116544
0.94200744

Spread0.05Mid0.64

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6155
0.608287
0.5690177
0.5550227
0.5410237
0.5110247
0.506253
0.486260
0.467266
0.447273
0.427280
0.4125305

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
zQ5da3x9V9ErKAPOYes415.23
241532532432Yes347.22
xiaogu97Yes227.26
rubby-always-winsYes169.02
ghlhjkeYes158.7
BilberryYes131.23
hunti124Yes128.21
hn54pVpVmJsjn2CAYes113
MaddadYes100
KowalskiyYes90.98
0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408Yes67
wsuauidnaYes62.04
arsenal85Yes58.03
LoneForestWolfYes53.7
BudgetDegen420Yes51.09
mashuuuuYes49.92
ventyclobYes40
0xSPBBYes37.78
jensondYes33.89
Alcaraz2026Yes33.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:33:34BUYYes0.377$2.42
23:19:24BUYYes0.3221$6.63
23:08:13BUYNo0.617$4.29
23:08:13BUYNo0.619398437513$7.93
23:08:13BUYNo0.615$3.06
22:13:34BUYNo0.5910$6.02
22:13:34BUYNo0.5910$5.90
22:13:33BUYNo0.597$3.89
22:01:54BUYNo0.589$5.22
22:01:52BUYNo0.5619$10.66
22:01:52BUYNo0.5621$11.97
22:01:51BUYNo0.55999996094$2.29
22:01:51BUYNo0.5630$16.80
22:01:49BUYNo0.5690$50.40
22:01:49BUYNo0.5630$16.80
22:01:48BUYNo0.568$4.35
22:01:48BUYNo0.5620$11.20
22:01:46BUYYes0.445$2.20
22:01:30BUYNo0.5910$5.90
22:01:30BUYNo0.58364705885$2.98
22:01:28BUYNo0.569999991711$6.21
22:01:28BUYNo0.5626$14.33
22:01:28BUYNo0.569462102716$9.32
22:01:28BUYNo0.5615$8.51
22:01:28BUYNo0.55217504915$8.45