Maddad
0x9ea2f9a4ac4d4ce350db2f997a7d79e23d0d665a
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $278.2k
- Markets traded
- 686
- Open portfolio
- $424.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded686
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.017Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
- +$1.4kat 0.283Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?
- +$1.1kat 0.102Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?
- +$966.49at 0.213Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?
- +$890.45at 0.347Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.41 | $6.15 |
| 09-22 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 09-22 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3494760008 | $33.35 |
| 09-22 11:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.08 |
| 09-22 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.63 |
| 09-22 10:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 09-22 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.50 |
| 09-22 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.22218925 | $266.63 |
| 09-22 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 09-21 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2301807634 | $102.76 |
| 09-21 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.344528149 | $51.04 |
| 09-21 15:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.8198363329 | $135.75 |
| 09-21 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.886969 | $88.70 |
| 09-21 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8824983952 | $274.95 |
| 09-21 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.82 | $6.56 |