PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on November 2?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=LIMC&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T02:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.38. up 0.24 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.14 to 0.47. 38 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.395959
0.402079
0.4146125
0.4282207
0.435212
0.445217
0.4548266
0.4628294
0.4794388
0.506394
0.526400
0.547407

Spread0.02Mid0.38

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.375050
0.362070
0.3558128
0.349137
0.3010147
0.1949196
0.1820216
0.1661277
0.14100377
0.1321398
0.1030428
0.09111539

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.635050
0.642070
0.6558128
0.669137
0.7010147
0.8149196
0.8220216
0.8461277
0.86100377
0.8721398
0.9030428
0.91111539

Spread0.02Mid0.62

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.615959
0.602079
0.5946125
0.5882207
0.575212
0.565217
0.5548266
0.5428294
0.5394388
0.506394
0.486400
0.467407

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x65f7…8b98Yes442.56
HellYeahTraderYes396.75
Weather-GuruYes224
hello.67Yes150
lucikdemonYes120.15
yellowhpYes101.62
hn54pVpVmJsjn2CAYes99.5
241532532432Yes72
ThermomenalYes70.49
BobbythePugYes55
gurdianYes48.79
MajasYes39.01
uranustradesYes37.04
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes34.34
WrongBy1DegreeYes31.25
Tommy-123123Yes30.59
newbie147Yes30
jensondYes29.84
TakeYourTemperatureYes20
Alcaraz2026Yes14.62

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:57:18SELLYes0.376$2.26
23:57:16BUYYes0.395$1.95
23:33:27BUYYes0.39836450$19.92
23:33:24BUYYes0.395$1.95
23:02:16BUYNo0.6360$37.80
22:09:37BUYYes0.38999998444$1.50
22:09:33BUYYes0.395$1.95
22:09:28BUYNo0.5581680169616$343.97
22:09:28BUYNo0.62999983622$1.00
22:09:28BUYNo0.615$3.05
22:09:28BUYNo0.5931$18.10
22:09:27BUYNo0.62999997938$4.88
22:09:27BUYNo0.6126$15.97
22:09:27BUYYes0.45999996695$2.50
22:09:27BUYYes0.4520$9.00
22:09:27BUYYes0.45999996695$2.50
21:05:16SELLYes0.420$0.03
21:00:07SELLNo0.588$4.64
20:47:37BUYNo0.592$1.18
19:41:52BUYNo0.60999985972$1.00
19:00:57BUYYes0.413$5.00
17:35:04BUYNo0.55321210339$4.89
17:04:46BUYNo0.54999995499$4.88
16:05:00SELLNo0.516$2.89
16:00:34BUYNo0.555$2.75