PolyBot

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Traders

Tommy-123123

0x00fefd8cfd35bd0ccd86083086ffbf39240e52e2

Realised P&L
$-7.1k
Volume
$620.2k
Markets traded
14,509
Open portfolio
$526.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14,509
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 13? · No0.7871.000$91.00+$19.30
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 14? · No0.7920.998$60.48+$12.48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 14? · No0.7760.905$54.91+$7.81
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14? · No0.7801.000$30.37+$6.67
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14? · Yes0.2561.000$30.30+$22.52
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 14? · No0.8580.999$30.01+$4.21
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 14? · No0.9200.974$29.52+$1.62
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 14? · No0.9300.932$28.28+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 14? · No0.7800.930$28.26+$4.56
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 14? · No0.7630.880$26.63+$3.53
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 14? · No0.7300.810$24.63+$2.43
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 14? · No0.6500.650$19.80+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14? · Yes0.4490.510$16.07+$1.93
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 14? · Yes0.3280.505$15.23+$5.33
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 14? · Yes0.2880.455$13.73+$5.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 23:10Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 14?SELL0.71$21.59
10-13 23:10Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 14?SELL0.13$3.90
10-13 18:10Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 14?BUY0.7799999954$23.70
10-13 18:10Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 14?BUY0.1536$4.80
10-13 17:10Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 14?BUY0.7799999954$23.70
10-13 17:10Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 14?BUY0.3283416993$9.90
10-13 17:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 14?BUY0.1666666667$5.00
10-13 17:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 14?BUY0.7299999977$22.20
10-13 16:11Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 14?BUY0.7633905567$23.10
10-13 16:11Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 14?BUY0.2455924344$7.50
10-13 16:11Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 14?BUY0.2883428552$8.70
10-13 16:11Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 14?BUY0.9199999987$27.90
10-13 16:11Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?SELL0.77$23.34
10-13 16:11Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 14?SELL0.14$4.45
10-13 16:11Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 14?BUY0.8443544109$25.50