PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 11?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-11
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.52. up 0.28 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.24 to 0.52. 34 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.53366366
0.54422788
0.55179967
0.56771,043
0.57851,128
0.58801,208
0.59271,235
0.60731,308
0.61981,406
0.6251,411
0.6461,417
0.651001,517

Spread0.03Mid0.52

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.50451451
0.4910,94711,398
0.483911,436
0.462011,456
0.32711,463
0.2939511,858
0.282,30514,163
0.172014,183
0.112014,203
0.1030014,503
0.0520014,703
0.039114,794

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.50451451
0.5110,94711,398
0.523911,436
0.542011,456
0.68711,463
0.7139511,858
0.722,30514,163
0.832014,183
0.892014,203
0.9030014,503
0.9520014,703
0.979114,794

Spread0.03Mid0.48

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.47366366
0.46422788
0.45179967
0.44771,043
0.43851,128
0.42801,208
0.41271,235
0.40731,308
0.39981,406
0.3851,411
0.3661,417
0.351001,517

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
hunti124Yes167.37
poligamiYes138.23
arehovbrowYes108
Weather-GuruYes80
kerbrervYes78.94
rdgg7Yes44.44
0x4543…4182Yes32.8
arsenal85Yes28.69
robert-mukhametovYes27
ui1iy485dmz2Yes20.35
raigothYes17.17
nanotradeYes13.72
opopv.Yes13.72
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes13.41
predictotempYes12.79
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes11.46
0xd50c018A958d777828e4B7120E1f5A50aBd83360-1766060041144Yes10.13
Artur24818408Yes10
0x58d0…fe47Yes8
BilberryYes7.2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:01:21BUYNo0.56$2.87
14:01:07BUYYes0.514365774913$6.58
11:57:25SELLNo0.484099099120$9.67
11:56:55SELLNo0.53$1.50
11:56:28SELLNo0.515$2.55
11:56:04BUYYes0.491468113520$10.00
11:56:03BUYYes0.4683194676138$64.74
11:56:03BUYYes0.47999992164$1.96
11:56:03SELLYes0.450$0.21
10:54:15BUYNo0.5560$33.00
10:11:18BUYNo0.559$4.95
09:40:15BUYYes0.45999997047$3.11
09:15:07BUYYes0.419999989320$8.60
09:15:07BUYYes0.4182231488167$70.00
08:05:22BUYNo0.60999997568$5.00
07:03:18BUYNo0.622$1.24
06:51:12BUYYes0.415$6.00
06:21:12BUYYes0.415$6.00
06:06:51BUYNo0.643$2.00
06:00:06BUYYes0.395061728410$4.00
05:40:21BUYYes0.3927$10.53
05:36:10BUYYes0.3915$6.00
05:21:10BUYYes0.3915$6.00
05:20:46BUYYes0.38999993373$1.00
00:58:37BUYYes0.345$1.70