predictotemp
0xd881e372e1c11f0e2d5aa5bef8c3bea366f240cd
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $46.9k
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $246.11
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$559.96at 0.458Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 9?
- +$547.21at 0.623Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7?
- +$413.42at 0.641Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?
- +$366.18at 0.700Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1?
- +$292.19at 0.252Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.48 | $11.70 |
| 09-22 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.2203803619 | $44.82 |
| 09-22 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.06 |
| 09-22 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2746996086 | $96.84 |
| 09-21 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.39 | $6.61 |
| 09-21 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.3870499232 | $6.56 |
| 09-21 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.4380879945 | $91.65 |
| 09-21 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2268909011 | $56.63 |
| 09-21 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 21? | SELL | 0.08 | $7.58 |
| 09-21 03:07 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 21? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.16 |
| 09-20 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.6473197378 | $71.10 |
| 09-20 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.07 | $9.87 |
| 09-20 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.2426610212 | $94.77 |
| 09-20 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.7224944733 | $241.85 |
| 09-20 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6513664582 | $289.58 |