PolyBot

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Traders

predictotemp

0xd881e372e1c11f0e2d5aa5bef8c3bea366f240cd

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$46.9k
Markets traded
354
Open portfolio
$246.11

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded354
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 22? · Yes0.4380.515$107.74+$16.09
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? · Yes0.2750.215$77.32$21.58
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 23? · Yes0.2200.245$49.83+$5.01
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 23? · No0.4800.455$11.09$0.61
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22? · Yes0.2270.001$0.12$56.50
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12? · Yes0.3410.000$0.00$13.69
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.14
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 12? · No0.7050.000$0.00$212.52
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17? · Yes0.2060.000$0.00$14.52
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 14? · No0.8500.000$0.00$18.60
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 25? · No0.5200.000$0.00$1.71
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 26? · No0.5300.000$0.00$1.74
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 9? · No0.5700.000$0.00$5.58
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 21? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on September 8? · No0.5700.000$0.00$1.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 15:01Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 23?BUY0.48$11.70
09-22 14:00Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 23?BUY0.2203803619$44.82
09-22 07:00Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?BUY0.29$2.06
09-22 07:00Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?BUY0.2746996086$96.84
09-21 16:47Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 22?SELL0.39$6.61
09-21 15:01Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 22?BUY0.3870499232$6.56
09-21 14:01Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 22?BUY0.4380879945$91.65
09-21 07:00Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22?BUY0.2268909011$56.63
09-21 03:08Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 21?SELL0.08$7.58
09-21 03:07Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 21?SELL0.09$4.16
09-20 17:12Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?SELL0.6473197378$71.10
09-20 15:01Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 21?BUY0.07$9.87
09-20 14:00Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 21?BUY0.2426610212$94.77
09-20 12:42Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?SELL0.7224944733$241.85
09-20 07:01Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?BUY0.6513664582$289.58