PolyBot

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Traders

Artur24818408

0xcfd744dcc3051610e03c1822c6c6dce251b9dfe9

Realised P&L
$709.05
Volume
$43.9k
Markets traded
1,951
Open portfolio
$49.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,951
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.5400.600$12.28+$1.23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? · Yes0.4900.460$9.38$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21? · Yes0.4200.435$8.70+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19? · Yes0.6071.000$5.00+$1.96
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 20? · Yes0.1500.180$4.06+$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 21? · Yes0.2800.275$2.85$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 21? · Yes0.3200.275$2.75$0.45
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? · Yes0.2800.225$2.25$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20? · Yes0.1700.140$1.42$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 21? · Yes0.0300.007$0.25$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 20? · Yes0.0090.012$0.12+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 19? · Yes0.0450.001$0.01$0.89
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 19? · Yes0.0600.001$0.01$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12? · No0.1800.000$0.00$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 25? · Yes0.3590.000$0.00$3.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 02:38Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 21?BUY0.28$2.90
09-20 00:42Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20?BUY0.49$2.45
09-20 00:40Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20?BUY0.49$7.54
09-20 00:38Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.17$0.65
09-20 00:38Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.15$3.38
09-19 15:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19?BUY0.6$3.00
09-19 14:59Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19?BUY0.61$6.10
09-19 14:51Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.54$11.05
09-17 12:02Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?BUY0.173$0.65
09-16 13:57Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 16?SELL0.63$3.26
09-16 09:52Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16?SELL0.24$1.20
09-16 01:01Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 16?SELL0.44$2.20
09-16 00:56Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 16?BUY0.28$4.20
09-15 23:36Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 16?BUY0.35$3.62
09-15 19:24Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 15?BUY0.26$1.30