Artur24818408
0xcfd744dcc3051610e03c1822c6c6dce251b9dfe9
- Realised P&L
- $593.30
- Volume
- $30.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,379
- Open portfolio
- $8.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,379
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.11at 0.105Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on July 25?
- +$9.75at 0.026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 21?
- +$8.31at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14?
- +$7.59at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 21?
- +$7.58at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 08-04 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.26 |
| 08-04 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.67 |
| 08-04 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:26 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-03 00:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.31 |
| 08-02 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 08-02 12:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.88 |
| 08-02 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.04 |
| 08-02 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.32 |
| 08-01 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.12 |
| 08-01 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-01 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 08-01 13:58 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |