Artur24818408
0xcfd744dcc3051610e03c1822c6c6dce251b9dfe9
- Realised P&L
- $709.05
- Volume
- $43.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,951
- Open portfolio
- $49.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,951
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.06at 0.048Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 24?
- +$10.77at 0.162Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 11?
- +$10.18at 0.106Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 25?
- +$9.93at 0.105Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on July 25?
- +$9.75at 0.026Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 02:38 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.90 |
| 09-20 00:42 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-20 00:40 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.49 | $7.54 |
| 09-20 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.65 |
| 09-20 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.38 |
| 09-19 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 09-19 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.54 | $11.05 |
| 09-17 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.173 | $0.65 |
| 09-16 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.26 |
| 09-16 09:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-16 00:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.20 |
| 09-15 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.62 |
| 09-15 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |