0x454335e3afa0e6125a5b1033e48b33b8fb934182
0x454335e3afa0e6125a5b1033e48b33b8fb934182
- Realised P&L
- $66.97
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $224.93
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.57at 0.453Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 7?
- +$11.89at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?
- +$7.96at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 6?
- +$6.57at 0.677Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?
- +$6.01at 0.526Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4168399453 | $3.05 |
| 10-08 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 15:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.81 |
| 10-08 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.11 |
| 10-08 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.87 |
| 10-08 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.996 | $0.35 |
| 10-08 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.996 | $0.33 |
| 10-08 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.38 |
| 10-08 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.996 | $4.21 |
| 10-08 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.994 | $0.15 |
| 10-08 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.37 |
| 10-08 13:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.70 |