PolyBot

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Traders

0x454335e3afa0e6125a5b1033e48b33b8fb934182

0x454335e3afa0e6125a5b1033e48b33b8fb934182

Realised P&L
$66.97
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$224.93

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 8? · No0.5430.620$17.13+$2.13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 10? · No0.7170.740$15.49+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 8? · Yes0.4060.465$14.48+$1.84
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 8? · No0.7000.938$13.40+$3.40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 9? · No0.5230.465$13.33−$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9? · No0.7060.610$12.95−$2.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9? · No0.6900.820$11.88+$1.88
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 8? · No0.5390.530$9.98−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 9? · No0.5650.545$9.65−$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9? · No0.3900.340$8.72−$1.28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 9? · No0.6600.979$7.41+$2.41
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 9? · No0.7100.855$6.02+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 8? · No0.4700.565$6.01+$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 9? · No0.6600.770$5.83+$0.83
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8? · No0.5000.555$5.43+$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 15:11Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
10-08 15:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 10?BUY0.4168399453$3.05
10-08 15:11Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9?BUY0.6899999821$5.00
10-08 15:11Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 10?BUY0.649999974$5.00
10-08 15:11Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9?SELL0.57$1.81
10-08 15:11Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8?SELL0.54$0.11
10-08 14:35Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8?SELL0.996$1.87
10-08 14:32Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8?SELL0.996$0.35
10-08 14:20Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8?SELL0.996$0.33
10-08 14:10Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 8?SELL0.8$1.38
10-08 13:57Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8?SELL0.996$4.21
10-08 13:50Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8?SELL0.994$0.15
10-08 13:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 8?SELL0.23$1.37
10-08 13:12Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 9?BUY0.64$5.00
10-08 13:11Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 8?SELL0.77$0.70