0xd50c018A958d777828e4B7120E1f5A50aBd83360-1766060041144
0xd50c018a958d777828e4b7120e1f5a50abd83360
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $187.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,486
- Open portfolio
- $36.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,486
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.25at 0.119Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 30?
- +$148.71at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 13?
- +$141.35at 0.278Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 29?
- +$139.22at 0.071Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on April 23?
- +$139.14at 0.031Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 09-22 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 09-22 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-22 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 09-22 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 09-22 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.5050092961 | $5.10 |
| 09-22 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 09-22 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 09-22 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 09-22 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 09-22 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 22? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.13 |
| 09-21 12:23 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |