0x6beefb1c8d4b91b9b6d437840c241e74e6997e78
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 6,450
- Open portfolio
- $163.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- CautionMarkets traded6,450
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.023Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
- +$959.21at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?
- +$932.19at 0.027Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?
- +$888.82at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
- +$887.97at 0.129Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.056 | $2.80 |
| 11-02 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on November 2? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 11-02 19:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 4? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.50 |
| 11-02 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3142857143 | $11.00 |
| 11-02 16:51 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.3276102763 | $67.59 |
| 11-02 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.5470588235 | $9.30 |
| 11-02 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.45 |
| 11-02 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.011 | $2.75 |
| 11-02 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 11-02 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.2224956326 | $8.92 |
| 11-02 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.75 |
| 11-02 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.75 |
| 11-02 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.1222784233 | $5.37 |
| 11-02 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.1715151515 | $5.66 |
| 11-02 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.738460117 | $23.98 |