poligami
0x6beefb1c8d4b91b9b6d437840c241e74e6997e78
- Realised P&L
- $12.4k
- Volume
- $1.80M
- Markets traded
- 5,028
- Open portfolio
- $181.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,028
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.023Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
- +$959.21at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 12?
- +$932.19at 0.027Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?
- +$888.82at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
- +$887.97at 0.129Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or below on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.46 |
| 09-17 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.60 |
| 09-17 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.18 |
| 09-17 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or higher on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.21 |
| 09-17 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.60 |
| 09-17 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.26 |
| 09-17 21:32 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 09-17 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 09-17 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 09-17 19:45 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.51 |
| 09-17 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.41 |
| 09-17 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.1332572993 | $2.92 |
| 09-17 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.42 |
| 09-17 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.13 |
| 09-17 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.21 |