PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 4?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-04
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.42. up 0.16 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.12 to 0.45. 59 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.503535
0.51540
0.532060
0.543897
0.565102
0.625108
0.6342150
0.646156
0.666161
0.686168
0.7012179
0.727186

Spread0.15Mid0.42

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.354040
0.34746
0.331056
0.322682
0.3163145
0.1821166
0.0840206
0.0720226
0.0520246
0.04115361
0.028368
0.0156424

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.654040
0.66746
0.671056
0.682682
0.6963145
0.8221166
0.9240206
0.9320226
0.9520246
0.96115361
0.988368
0.9956424

Spread0.15Mid0.57

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.503535
0.49540
0.472060
0.463897
0.445102
0.385108
0.3742150
0.366156
0.346161
0.326168
0.3012179
0.287186

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
WrongBy1DegreeYes1,544.57
Weather-GuruYes200
HaradwaithYes197.95
hfvYes151.61
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes92.57
mashuuuuYes84.73
0xbdfa…61b1Yes65.32
luizrealYes60.1
psysloYes59.56
0x88275Bb9e312126d1DDb727782Dc35d03a155d62-1769110120988Yes50.98
kerbrervYes47.78
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes45.57
RiskyMoolahYes40
WeatherPeen69Yes39
krbrvYes35.32
5a82666suyuchenYes30
yongzhuanziben007Yes21.66
0x1894B184374aB530Eacd0A55477f2253BEafA936-1780076507354Yes21
gaaaydogggggYes20.59
dh128adjYes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:23:19BUYNo0.637254898231$20.00
17:10:17SELLNo0.5213$6.84
17:08:46BUYNo0.568295845128$72.76
17:00:04BUYNo0.56999998869$5.00
16:53:13BUYNo0.559999996422$12.52
16:37:59SELLNo0.555309446331$17.05
16:37:59BUYNo0.531$15.63
16:37:59BUYNo0.510$5.00
16:37:49SELLNo0.627107700438$23.70
16:31:05BUYYes0.324$1.19
16:25:20BUYNo0.6999999167$5.00
16:14:11SELLYes0.2811$3.01
16:10:59SELLNo0.713563791914$10.01
16:10:38SELLNo0.71610500618$5.86
16:10:35SELLNo0.713$2.37
16:10:32SELLNo0.724$2.64
16:10:29SELLNo0.752$1.44
16:10:29SELLNo0.8087455106237$191.41
16:10:29SELLNo0.722$1.32
16:10:29SELLNo0.732$1.34
16:10:29SELLNo0.73861598445$3.79
16:10:29SELLNo0.741$0.45
16:10:29SELLNo0.751$0.55
16:10:29SELLNo0.754$2.82
15:52:23BUYYes0.142$0.33