luizreal
0x549c191f5d722d47456c763b9c35edd9fcde100a
- Realised P&L
- $7.84
- Volume
- $37.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,156
- Open portfolio
- $86.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,156
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.82at 0.009Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?
- +$90.29at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?
- +$73.10at 0.123Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 3?
- +$65.46at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 25?
- +$49.79at 0.172Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.35 |
| 09-17 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 17:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.89 |
| 09-17 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.46 |
| 09-17 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.48 |
| 09-16 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.17 |
| 09-16 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.29 | $0.82 |
| 09-16 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.48 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.70 |
| 09-16 17:35 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.51 |
| 09-15 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.34 | $4.28 |
| 09-15 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.99 |