PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

luizreal

0x549c191f5d722d47456c763b9c35edd9fcde100a

Realised P&L
$57.83
Volume
$19.9k
Markets traded
738
Open portfolio
$182.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded738
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 3? · Yes0.3001.000$66.63+$46.63
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 3? · Yes0.4201.000$23.79+$13.79
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4? · Yes0.4800.485$20.20+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 4? · Yes0.3600.275$15.28$4.72
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 4? · Yes0.2200.225$10.23+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4? · Yes0.4700.475$10.10+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4? · Yes0.5200.515$9.90$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4? · Yes0.4600.440$9.56$0.43
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4? · Yes0.3500.310$8.86$1.14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4? · Yes0.3300.290$8.79$1.21
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 3? · Yes0.2200.001$0.02$9.98
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3? · Yes0.4800.001$0.02$19.98
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? · Yes0.2600.001$0.02$9.98
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 3? · Yes0.3500.001$0.01$9.99
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 3? · Yes0.4100.001$0.01$9.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 00:06Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4?BUY0.35$10.00
08-03 23:55Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4?BUY0.47$10.00
08-03 23:05Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.46$10.00
08-03 22:05Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.22$10.00
08-03 21:55Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 4?BUY0.33$10.00
08-03 21:15Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4?BUY0.48$20.00
08-03 21:15Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.52$10.00
08-03 21:15Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.36$20.00
08-03 00:05Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 3?BUY0.22$10.00
08-02 23:55Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3?BUY0.48$20.00
08-02 23:25Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.42$10.00
08-02 23:05Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 3?BUY0.41$2.51
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 3?BUY0.35$3.85
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.26$10.00
08-02 21:55Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.3$20.00
Trader luizreal · PolyBot