PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 2?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=FACT&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T01:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.41. up 0.16 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.20 to 0.47. 39 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4155
0.42120125
0.4392217
0.44101318
0.4551369
0.468377
0.489387
0.506393
0.5150443
0.526449
0.536455
0.547462

Spread0.01Mid0.41

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.402020
0.396585
0.38149234
0.355239
0.348247
0.337254
0.3025279
0.2959338
0.1935373
0.1840413
0.1510423
0.1338461

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.602020
0.616585
0.62149234
0.655239
0.668247
0.677254
0.7025279
0.7159338
0.8135373
0.8240413
0.8510423
0.8738461

Spread0.01Mid0.59

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5955
0.58120125
0.5792217
0.56101318
0.5551369
0.548377
0.529387
0.506393
0.4950443
0.486449
0.476455
0.467462

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BilberryYes715.22
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes236
0x65f7…8b98Yes183.05
MaddadYes175
weatherwhatYes130.53
wildestdogYes100
0xSPBBYes86.06
0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408Yes77
twobonclayYes59.99
edgewarehouseYes55.45
trade1112026Yes50
0xf8db…ca1dYes50
hello.67Yes49.56
3636yuchensuYes32.57
mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmudYes30.28
newbie147Yes30
yellowhpYes29.75
gaaaydogggggYes29.1
brightKongYes20
ClusiusYes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:29:25BUYYes0.410$4.00
22:09:28BUYNo0.633278666574$47.11
22:09:27BUYNo0.64999990445$3.40
22:09:27BUYNo0.64999990445$3.40
20:34:54BUYYes0.3175$52.50
20:34:54BUYYes0.3150$15.50
20:20:52SELLNo0.726$4.62
18:35:46BUYYes0.26999997844$1.00
18:00:13SELLNo0.7725$19.25
16:27:12BUYYes0.269999988518$4.92
16:11:25BUYYes0.2343896547354$82.97
16:11:25BUYYes0.2520$5.00
16:11:25BUYYes0.2634$8.84
16:11:25BUYYes0.25154$38.41
16:00:22BUYYes0.2210$2.20
15:12:06BUYYes0.2311$2.53
15:12:06BUYYes0.22999997974$1.02
15:12:04BUYYes0.22452824245$10.00
15:12:03BUYYes0.225$1.10
15:12:01BUYYes0.2146136181188$40.29
15:12:01BUYYes0.225$1.10
14:12:33SELLNo0.8125$20.25
14:11:13BUYYes0.215548914146$10.00
14:11:10BUYYes0.2067281071134$27.60
14:00:33BUYNo0.849999998533$27.75