shaoqi767
0x3750ad9b4033b972f775b671d26cc2f0bd17cbdd
- Realised P&L
- $-109.7k
- Volume
- $4.29M
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $403.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.905 | $301.67 | +$1.67 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.175 | $70.00 | −$130.00 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.027 | $31.44 | −$68.56 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.177 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.5k |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$341.76at 0.740Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-26.07at 0.011Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.5k |
| 09-16 14:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.0k |
| 09-11 14:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.2k |
| 09-11 14:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.8k |
| 09-11 14:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.0k |
| 09-11 14:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $80.00 |
| 09-11 14:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $400.00 |
| 09-11 14:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $400.00 |
| 08-28 10:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.60 |
| 08-28 09:57 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0168280311 | $1.2k |
| 08-19 17:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.014 | $21.00 |
| 08-19 17:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.013 | $25.00 |
| 08-06 16:37 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.017 | $36.40 |
| 08-03 15:38 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.012 | $165.77 |
| 07-30 14:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0260038146 | $25.90 |