Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-10
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.09. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.08 to 0.20. 15 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	100	100
0.11	1,610	1,710
0.12	1,036	2,746
0.13	599	3,345
0.14	672	4,017
0.15	330	4,347
0.16	606	4,953
0.17	1,255	6,208
0.18	215	6,423
0.19	168	6,591
0.20	125	6,716
0.21	5	6,721

Spread0.02Mid0.09

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	200	200
0.07	1,259	1,459
0.06	3,312	4,771
0.05	3,284	8,055
0.04	7,523	15,578
0.03	600	16,178
0.02	700	16,878
0.01	1,170	18,048

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	200	200
0.93	1,259	1,459
0.94	3,312	4,771
0.95	3,284	8,055
0.96	7,523	15,578
0.97	600	16,178
0.98	700	16,878
0.99	1,170	18,048

Spread0.02Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	100	100
0.89	1,610	1,710
0.88	1,036	2,746
0.87	599	3,345
0.86	672	4,017
0.85	330	4,347
0.84	606	4,953
0.83	1,255	6,208
0.82	215	6,423
0.81	168	6,591
0.80	125	6,716
0.79	5	6,721

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Mei-ji	Yes	1,070
Rizh	Yes	400
ElonJail	Yes	400
smalltimezzz	Yes	260.05
MartinPNZ	Yes	80
oboltusovao	Yes	70
Demet3r	Yes	50
Dr.PNL	Yes	20
WanderingPanda	Yes	10
Etherapp	Yes	10
justwant5	Yes	10
sdssds	Yes	2.22
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,475.53
clggzz	No	321.55
0xb307…c802	No	222.22
BernandoNaty	No	200
0xa123…3fd6	No	109.89
apostadorTurco	No	27.47
0xc948…e6cd	No	22.33
orange0001	No	2.17

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:00:22	BUY	No	0.9199999816	2	$2.00
02:37:04	BUY	Yes	0.1	10	$1.00
02:27:13	BUY	No	0.9199999982	22	$20.54
01:32:56	BUY	No	0.9	302	$271.40
01:06:23	BUY	No	0.9	2	$1.52
00:54:34	BUY	No	0.9	2	$1.52
00:49:13	BUY	No	0.9	2	$1.52
00:41:05	BUY	No	0.9	2	$1.52
00:27:17	BUY	No	0.9	2	$1.52
00:03:38	BUY	Yes	0.1	100	$10.00
23:50:49	BUY	Yes	0.09	400	$36.00
22:22:41	BUY	No	0.92	20	$18.40
19:15:26	BUY	No	0.9099999993	27	$25.00
18:43:05	BUY	No	0.9	222	$200.00
18:01:46	BUY	No	0.91	110	$100.00
17:34:05	BUY	No	0.91	1	$1.00